sbudach

joined 2 years ago
 

Rank Team Win % Adj. Win % Weekly Rank Change
1 Philadelphia .909 .819 --
2 Baltimore .750 .741 --
3 Kansas City .727 .729 +2
4 Jacksonville .727 .727 +2
5 San Francisco .706 .727 +2
6 Pittsburgh .636 .681 +2
7 Cleveland .636 .678 -4
8 Detroit .727 .656 -4
9 Miami .727 .637 --
10 Dallas .727 .611 --
11 Denver .545 .552 +6
12 Houston .545 .541 -1
13 Indianapolis .545 .538 +2
14 Seattle .545 .525 -2
15 Cincinnati .455 .517 -2
16 LA Rams .455 .489 +2
17 Buffalo .500 .484 -1
18 Minnesota .500 .477 -4
19 Green Bay .455 .459 +5
20 Las Vegas .417 .422 +1
21 LA Chargers .364 .412 +1
22 Atlanta .455 .407 +4
23 Tampa Bay .364 .403 -4
24 NY Jets .364 .402 -1
25 New Orleans .455 .397 -5
26 Tennessee .364 .397 -1
27 Washington .333 .334 --
28 NY Giants .333 .325 --
29 Chicago .333 .320 --
30 Arizona .167 .240 +1
31 New England .182 .239 -1
32 Carolina .091 .154 --

I'm using a simplified/modified Colley Matrix iteration process (https://www.colleyrankings.com/method.html)

To summarize, you take the win percentage of every team and correct it against the win percentage of their opponents. Then you have a new win percentage. And I repeat that process until the correction factor is below .001. Essentially this is what I would expect the win percentages to be if the teams played an average team every week.

 

Rank Team Adj. Win % Weekly Rank Change
1 Philadelphia .809 --
2 Baltimore .747 +1
3 Cleveland .728 +2
4 Detroit .711 --
5 Kansas City .704 -3
6 Jacksonville .693 +1
7 San Francisco .683 +1
8 Pittsburgh .651 -2
9 Miami .615 +1
10 Dallas .592 +1
11 Houston .571 +3
12 Seattle .562 -3
13 Cincinnati .553 -1
14 Minnesota .516 -1
15 Indianapolis .514 --
16 Buffalo .498 +2
17 Denver .492 +3
18 LA Rams .465 +5
19 Tampa Bay .438 -2
20 New Orleans .436 +2
21 Las Vegas .427 --
22 LA Chargers .420 -6
23 NY Jets .418 -4
24 Green Bay .397 +3
25 Tennessee .379 -1
26 Atlanta .374 -1
27 Washington .342 -1
28 NY Giants .295 +3
29 Chicago .275 -1
30 New England .272 --
31 Arizona .262 -2
32 Carolina .180 --

I'm using a simplified/modified Colley Matrix iteration process (https://www.colleyrankings.com/method.html)

To summarize, you take the win percentage of every team and correct it against the win percentage of their opponents. Then you have a new win percentage. And I repeat that process until the correction factor is below .001. Essentially this is what I would expect the win percentages to be if the teams played an average team every week.

 

Rank Team Adj. Win % Weekly Rank Change
1 Philadelphia .780 --
2 Kansas City .743 +1
3 Baltimore .724 -1
4 Detroit .719 +1
5 Cleveland .694 +2
6 Pittsburgh .674 --
7 Jacksonville .674 -3
8 San Francisco .653 +2
9 Seattle .610 +2
10 Miami .582 -1
11 Dallas .574 +1
12 Cincinnati .571 -4
13 Minnesota .566 --
14 Houston .557 +1
15 Indianapolis .503 +3
16 LA Chargers .481 +1
17 Tampa Bay .464 +5
18 Buffalo .462 -4
19 NY Jets .452 -3
20 Denver .451 +5
21 Las Vegas .451 +3
22 New Orleans .440 -3
23 LA Rams .408 +3
24 Tennessee .403 -4
25 Atlanta .382 -4
26 Washington .379 -3
27 Green Bay .353 --
28 Chicago .294 +2
29 Arizona .270 +3
30 New England .267 -2
31 NY Giants .251 -2
32 Carolina .196 -1

I'm using a simplified/modified Colley Matrix iteration process (https://www.colleyrankings.com/method.html)

To summarize, you take the win percentage of every team and correct it against the win percentage of their opponents. Then you have a new win percentage. And I repeat that process until the correction factor is below .001. Essentially this is what I would expect the win percentages to be if the teams played an average team every week.

 

Rank Team Adj. Win % Weekly Ranking Change
1 Philadelphia .775 +1
2 Jacksonville .718 +2
3 Baltimore .708 --
4 Kansas City .695 -3
5 Detroit .688 +2
6 Miami .652 +3
7 Seattle .625 +5
8 Cleveland .613 -3
9 Dallas .609 +2
10 Pittsburgh .599 -4
11 San Francisco .586 -3
12 Buffalo .586 +3
13 NY Jets .583 --
14 Cincinnati .574 +4
15 Minnesota .477 +5
16 Atlanta .473 -2
17 Tennessee .469 +4
18 Tampa Bay .466 -1
19 Houston .462 -9
20 Indianapolis .458 -4
21 New Orleans .449 +2
22 LA Chargers .446 --
23 LA Rams .445 -4
24 Denver .391 +5
25 Washington .380 -1
26 New England .366 --
27 Las Vegas .362 -2
28 NY Giants .324 -1
29 Green Bay .288 -1
30 Carolina .258 +2
31 Chicago .251 -1
32 Arizona .225 -1

I'm using a simplified/modified Colley Matrix iteration process (https://www.colleyrankings.com/method.html)

To summarize, you take the win percentage of every team and correct it against the win percentage of their opponents. Then you have a new win percentage. And I repeat that process until the correction factor is below .001. Essentially this is what I would expect the win percentages to be if the teams played an average team every week.