this post was submitted on 06 Dec 2023
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Ukraine
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Putin should be announcing his run for reelection in 10 days. I bet this insanity will continue for at least that long.
Then we will have to see if it continues after that.
I really hope that this insane tactic will come back to bite him in the near future. There's no way these losses can be sustainable.
I agree, and I think it will. It's not just the losses, personel in particular, Putin is really crazy, and is planning to mobilize 170000 extra, because of the "aggression" from Nato. And Russia has made a budget for 2024 with increased spending on the war by 70%!
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/putin-approves-big-military-spending-hikes-russias-budget-2023-11-27/
That means Russia will spend 40% of their entire national budget on "security" in 2024, and that's made possible by an insane projection of 22% increased tax/oil revenue from a smaller economy?! That alone could break the Russian economy.
I'll give that article a read, thanks! In addition to infantry losses, I've been really scratching my head about equipment losses. I get that Russia has a colossal amount of old soviet junk which they can throw at Ukrainian defences, but they must be running out. They can only have so many old T-72s in storage that they can get going again. Tanks, APVs, artillary; long term I just don't see how it will be possible to sustain an 800km long front line without armour or artillery support. Something has to give eventually.
Well, the short answer is that they have a lot more equipment in storage than you might guess. The long answer is that yes, it will eventually run out, even if it seems like eventually is a long ways away. Perun did a really good video about it 2 months ago, including satellite analysis of equipment storage yards. Worth a watch if you've got 70 minutes to spare.