this post was submitted on 13 Nov 2023
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Image is of the Herðubreið tuya in northeast Iceland, formed when ice sheets covered Iceland thousands of years ago. It's not really relevant to the Grindavik situation but I think they look neat. The title also doesn't make much sense but I saw the pun and took it.


Off in Iceland, different kinds of tunnels are causing problems. Underneath the town of Grindavik in southwestern Iceland, not far from the capital of Reykjavik, tens of thousands of earthquakes are portending the movement of magma in tunnels underneath the peninsula, which could breach the surface and cause an eruption. The 4000 residents of the town have been evacuated as the magma has risen to less than a kilometer below the surface.^TRG^

Icelandic volcanism is pretty fascinating, with the country sitting on the mid-Atlantic ridge, the birthing line of new oceanic crustal rock running right down the Atlantic ocean for many thousands of kilometers, as well as a hotspot, an upwelling of mantle material of debated origin which also feeds otherwise-inexplicable volcanism in the middle of tectonic plates, like Yellowstone and Hawaii.

An additional factor here is the presence of glaciers. When a volcano erupts underneath a glacier, the melting water cools the lava rapidly, causing features usually seen in volcanoes that erupt under the sea like pillow basalts, but also unique features like tuyas, which are steep-sided but flat-topped volcanoes. The rapid melting of water can also cause glacial floods called jökulhlaups.

Icelandic volcanoes have had significant regional and even global impacts in the past. In 2010, the volcano Eyjafjallajökull, which was a volcano covered by an ice cap, erupted and the ash cloud spread across Europe, causing airline disruption for about a month which caused nearly $2 billion in total losses for airline companies - though this seems pretty quaint compared to the pandemic's impact on airlines in retrospect. Back in the 1780s, the Laki volcano killed a quarter of the Icelandic population due to sulphur dioxide causing massive crop failure and cattle death. This eruption's impacts spread to Europe and beyond, causing notable worldwide temperature drops and thus crop failures and may well have been a contributing factor to the outbreak of the French Revolution, which obviously heralded the death of the feudal order and the eventual primacy of capitalism in its place. That being said, any eruption at Grindavik is very probably not going to have any significant worldwide impacts - there are over a hundred volcanoes already in Iceland, and regular climate change is doing a great job at causing mayhem right now anyway. It's also still possible that there won't be an eruption at all, at least not in the short to medium term.


Friendly reminder: when commenting about a news event, especially something that just happened, please provide a source of some kind. While ideally this would be on nitter or archived, any source is preferable to none at all given.

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.


Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.


The Country of the Week is Iceland! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

This week's update is here!

Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.

Links and Stuff


The bulletins site is down.

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists

Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Add to the above list if you can.


Resources For Understanding The War


Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.

Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.

Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.

On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.


Telegram Channels

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

Pro-Russian

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.

https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.

https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.

https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.

https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.

https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.

https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine

Almost every Western media outlet.

https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.

https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


Last week's discussion post.


(page 14) 50 comments
sorted by: hot top controversial new old
[–] the_kid@hexbear.net 35 points 2 years ago (5 children)
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[–] zephyreks@hexbear.net 35 points 2 years ago (1 children)

US CPI prints 3.2% below 3.3% expected... Health insurance costs have a new formula and, oh look, they're down by 34%.

Completely unrelated, I'm sure.

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[–] nurjahreszeiten@hexbear.net 35 points 2 years ago (2 children)

Yooo lets goo 3000 comments!! Huh whats going on in Argentina, surely nothing important...

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[–] GVAGUY3@hexbear.net 34 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Well, rip Argentina. I give it 6 months till he is in the single digit approval ratings.

[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 33 points 2 years ago (3 children)

I give it 6 months till he is in the single digit approval ratings.

economic collapse is the inevitable result if he actually goes through with cutting off Brazil and China and dollarizing the economy, which is why I believe he'll get a stern talking to by the Argentinian bourgeoisie, go "Wow, huh, this is much harder than I thought..." and govern as a feckless idiot until he's either voted out or there's some Cool Zone shit

or he will just actually fucking collapse the economy, in which case, all bets are off

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[–] anaesidemus@hexbear.net 34 points 2 years ago (3 children)

No news from the Volcano front, the lava is holding steady at about 800 m below the surface. Residents in some neighbourhoods were allowed to collect their belongings. Some of them had left the town before the official evacuation so they didn't have much.

Regarding Iceland as a whole.

A hundred years ago it was the poorest country in Europe, until WW2. After nearly a thousand years of "licking death from a shell" the people were brought into the 20th century by way of massive infrastructure projects to turn the country into a fleet base for the Battle of the Atlantic. Since then the country has been under the heel of the US like everywhere else. Leftism is mainly expressed politically with traitorous left greens and spineless socdems. Although union membership is incredibly high since the country industrialized in tandem with the birth of the labour union struggle worldwide.

It was an ideological battleground in the Cold War, with leftists being spied on and harassed and barred from important jobs. Still, there was a kind of balance, the fabled Nordic Socialism™️

It got hit hard by neoliberalism after the fall of the Soviet Union. Deregulation, privatization and austerity has been the agenda of every government since.

Entry into the EEA has not helped, for example it requires that there be competition on the electricity market, which is just preposterous for an island with no electric connections to any other country.

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[–] nat_turner_overdrive@hexbear.net 34 points 2 years ago (7 children)
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[–] zephyreks@hexbear.net 34 points 2 years ago
[–] Coolkidbozzy@hexbear.net 34 points 2 years ago (3 children)

how many houthis can fit on a cargo ship

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[–] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 34 points 2 years ago

~6m ago

‘Violent attack’ on Gaza’s al-Ahil hospital: Red Crescent

Al-Ahil Hospital in the Gaza Strip is currently under siege by Israeli tanks, the Palestinian Red Crescent wrote in a statement on Facebook.

The organisation said that their teams are unable to move to reach and treat the inured.

Last month, an explosion, which Israel denies responsibility for, hit the hospital, killing at least 500.

- Al Jazeera

[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 34 points 2 years ago (2 children)

What is Hamas actually? In the west you get a cartoon image of bloodthirsty non-white terrorists, a mashups of every sensationalist trope about Isis, the Taliban and Al Qaeda, sprinkled with some Nazi stuff for flavour.

But what is the real life Hamas actually like? What is their ideology and praxis outside of national liberation? What did they do while governing the Gaza Strip and where do they fit into the context of class struggle?

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[–] Dr_Gabriel_Aby@hexbear.net 34 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (1 children)

An editorial from September 6th by Thomas Friedman of all people, explaining how Bibi’s government will be to blame for the failure of peace. Crazy to think this guy actually thought about geopolitical consequences, but interesting to see how stupid it is that USA gave full support to a fascist faction that likely would’ve shattered without our support. Fucking Joe man

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/05/opinion/biden-middle-east-deal.html

https://archive.ph/i9RBm

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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 34 points 2 years ago

Our posting spree has (kinda) ended, with us failing to breach the 3951 comment threshold for five consecutive megathreads. Nonetheless, last week's megathread was still the sixth largest ever, so not too bad!

Given that I've switched Country of the Week, it is now guaranteed that Hezbollah will start a massive war just to spite me.


The Country of the Week is Iceland!

As mentioned in the preamble, feel free to post or recommend any material related to Iceland, whether from a thousand years ago or yesterday. You can post it anywhere in the thread, but you can also reply to this comment if you wish.

If you're feeling particularly ambitious and want homework, you could take on any or all of these questions (no reward, but I'll be very proud of you):

  • Who are the main political actors? Are they compradors, nationalists, international socialists, something else?
  • What are the most salient domestic political issues; those issues that repeatedly shape elections over the last 10, 20 years. Every country has its quirks that complicate analysis - for example, Brexit in the UK.
  • What is the country's history? You don't have to go back a thousand years if that's not relevant, and I'm counting "history" as basically anything that has happened over a year ago.
  • What factions exist, historically and currently? If there is an electoral system, what are the major parties and their demographic bases? Are there any minor parties with large amounts of influence? Independence movements? Religious groups?
  • How socially progressive or conservative are they? Is there equality for different ethnic groups, or are some persecuted? Do they have LGBTQIA+ rights? Have they improved over time, or gotten worse?
  • What role do foreign powers play in the country’s politics and economy? Is there a particular country nearby or far away that is nearly inseparable from them, for good or bad reasons? Is their trade dominated by exports/imports to one place? Are they exploited, exploiters, or something in between?
  • If applicable, what is the influence of former colonial relationships on the modern economy and politics?
  • Is the country generally stable? Do you think there will be a coup at some point in the future, and if so, what faction might replace them?

The previous country was Lebanon. Don't miss @LargePenis@hexbear.net's two small AMAs on Lebanon here and here!

This is our Geopolitics Reading List so far! Please chime in with suggestions!

General Theory:

Canada:

Chile:

  • 1000 Days of Revolution: Chilean Communists on the Lessons of Popular Unity (I cannot personally find an online version).
  • Santiago Boys Podcast, analyzing Allende's government and Cybersyn.

Lebanon:

United States:

Venezuela:

[–] Cigarette_comedian@hexbear.net 34 points 2 years ago (2 children)

Has Israhell tried not to shoot civilians yet? Idk, sounds like a good idea to me.

Also.

Has Israhell tried not to ram their entire armored corps into an urban environment full of enemies yet? Idk, sounds like a good idea to me.

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[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 34 points 2 years ago

The "human shields" excuse the zionists use to justify indiscriminate terror bombings of civilians is complete and obvious bullshit. If some evil bad terrorists took control of a hospital in Belgium and held staff and patients hostage none of the western liberals who are currently making themselves the useful idiots of zionism would think that bombing the hospital and killing everyone there would be a justifiable thing to do. However, when it is brown people who are on the state-designated baddies' team it is considered completely fine.

And even if we abandon all morality and look at the "human shield" claim from a purely utilitarian perspective it is clear that the strategy simply doesn't work. No amount of civilian Palestinian victims ever kept the IOF from dropping bombs. Human shields only work if your opponent actuality considers the shields to be human.

[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 34 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Michael Roberts: From a Sahm recession to global downturn

You best start believing in global recessions - you're in one.

Even if the US avoids an outright contraction in real GDP in the next few quarters, it is likely that the US will suffer a significant slowdown to almost stagnation next year, with inflation still well above the pre-pandemic average and the Fed’s own target of 2% a year.

And as for the rest of the major economies, outright recession appears much more likely. Worldwide business activity stalled in October as global PMI hit 50.0. The global PMI is a reliable measure of economic activity in economies – and the 50 mark is the threshold between expansion and contraction. The global PMI has not fallen below 50 since the global financial crisis.

And as shown in my previous post on the US economy, the major developed capitalist economies continued to have a reading below 50 – indicating contraction. Indeed, many advanced capitalist economies are already in recession. The Eurozone economy contracted in Q3. Real GDP fell -0.1%, marking the first contraction since 2020 when the covid-19 pandemic weighed. A ‘technical’ recession looks likely – two consecutive quarterly declines, as Q4 could also show a contraction. Sweden is contracting, Canada is contracting and the latest figure for the UK showed the economy heading into recession. Real GDP was flat in Q3 and Q4 has started very weak. The Bank of England is now forecasting five quarters of zero growth at best. And real GDP growth is still well below pre-GFC growth trends.

...

The IMF sums it up: “the medium-term outlook for global growth is at its lowest in decades. The IMF’s five-year ahead global growth projections have steadily declined from a peak of 4.9 percent in 2013 to just 3.1 percent in 2023, lowering the pace of convergence in living standards between emerging market and developing economies and advanced economies, while also posing challenges for debt sustainability and investment in the climate transition.”

The underlying cause of the slowdown in productivity and world trade, and the increased geopolitical rivalry is to be found in the slowing of productive investment growth in the major economies. What is has been keeping growth up so far has been unproductive investment in finance, real estate and now military spending. Investment in technology, education and manufacturing has dropped away. And the basic reason for that is the stagnating and even downward trend in the global profitability of productive capital in the 23 years of the 21st century.

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[–] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 34 points 2 years ago (2 children)

What really happened in Israel on Oct. 7? w/Max Blumenthal | The Chris Hedges Report - YouTube

For all the sensationalism surrounding the events of Oct. 7, when Hamas broke through the Gaza fence and seized territory in the Gaza Envelope as part of Operation Al-Aqsa Flood, there is still much that we do not know. The official Israeli death toll from the attack is estimated at 1,200 civilians, revised from an initial estimate of 1,400.

Among this figure are several hundred civilians, which Israel says were killed by Hamas militants. Other testimony from survivors of Oct. 7 suggests an alternative explanation—that in its fervor to defeat Hamas, Israeli commanders may have willingly targeted and sacrificed Israeli soldiers and civilians in the crossfire. Max Blumenthal of The Grayzone joins The Chris Hedges Report for an in-depth look.

It's 42m.

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[–] the_kid@hexbear.net 34 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (1 children)

saying Argentina is mostly governed by outside forces like the IMF and the US. Milei won't be able to do 5% of what he wants, like abolishing the central bank or whatever. the worst part is knowing how many idiots voted for the guy.

Argentina has mandatory voting, so a ton of people actually voted for the guy unlike the US lol.

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[–] GVAGUY3@hexbear.net 34 points 2 years ago (5 children)

Most annoying right wingers get a victory

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[–] Kaplya@hexbear.net 34 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (9 children)

The Biden administration has established a foothold in Latin America through Argentina, Asia through India, Ukraine has done its job dragging down Russia and Europe, while the Middle East is being destabilized.

The BRICS+ bloc has really failed to stop the torrential flood of the dollar offensive. As optimistic as I was last year, BRICS dragging their feet over de-dollarization (almost two years now and they still haven’t decided on an actual plan) has really given Biden the opening to revive the American Imperium.

Been working on writing a summary of my thoughts over the past few months, and I will post them next week.

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[–] Wertheimer@hexbear.net 34 points 2 years ago (3 children)

Some chud with the same name as me doesn't know their own email address, and I get spam from their Congresswoman. Today, a poll: "Do you believe America should support our greatest ally in the Middle East?" Options are Yes, No, and Unsure. That's the entire email.

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[–] Kaplya@hexbear.net 33 points 2 years ago (3 children)

Which one of you lathed Dark Brandon into existence?

Are you happy NOW??!

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[–] Kestrel@hexbear.net 33 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

Has this news been shared previously? https://geopolitics.co/2023/11/10/the-reality-of-gazas-forced-exodus-unveiling-israels-secret-plan/

Last weekend, Israeli newspaper Local Call leaked an official Israeli government document recommending what Palestinians have been saying Israel is already trying to execute with its war on Gaza — the forcible transfer of Gaza’s 2.3 million Palestinian population to Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula.

The document dated October 13 calls for Israel “to evacuate the [Gazan] civilian population to Sinai” first by establishing tent cities and then building new towns in northern Sinai. Following the resettlement, the paper recommends “to create a sterile zone of several kilometers inside Egypt and not allow the population to return to activity or residence near the Israeli border.”

Saw it on Lee Camp's channel

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