Minneapolis - St. Paul Metro

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Revolutionary_Code@midwest.social

m_f@midwest.social

The polls say the presidential election is a dead heat. But online bettors are leaning to Trump. Who’s right? (www.startribune.com)

submitted 8 months ago by m_f@midwest.social to c/msp@midwest.social

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[–] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 1 points 8 months ago (1 children)

The markets have pretty tightly correlated with polling based models.

[–] m_f@midwest.social 2 points 8 months ago

They have been historically. I think they may not going forward though. Mostly because now that it's "a thing" you're going to have a lot of people trying to screw around with it that don't mind losing money, which makes betting markets irrational