this post was submitted on 02 Oct 2025
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The math checks out, but the problem is the danger of rolling a nat 20 on your practice roll. The odds of getting two nat 20s in a row are almost as low as the odds of getting two nat 1s, so you may be screwing yourself out of a crit
Jesse, that's not how probability fucking works.
Gosh it's almost like I was joking by coming to a correct conclusion through faulty reasoning
I mean I could have just been a complete dweeb and explain that the outcome of the second roll is unaffected by the outcome of the first, and you are just as likely to roll two ones in a row as you are to roll any two numbers, but then I'd have to find a locker to shove myself in