this post was submitted on 20 Oct 2025
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Ukraine
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@ranzispa @Skua
You're completely skipping Ukraine's military strategy here:
It has been since 2023 to destroy the Russia's economy. Once that's dealt with, the rest will follow.
Also, look at the huge AD losses the Russia has suffered especially in Crimea! Attriting the Russian air defence in order to get to the refineries has been a part of Ukraine's core strategy.
Ukraine's current war goal is not to regain territory. It is to lay the groundwork for doing that in the future.
I am aware of the strategy, that falls under the first of the three scenarios I described.
The objective of Ukraine is regaining the entirety of its territories, the strategy is how it gets to that point.
That is why I believe the graph is good and completely correct, but does not really highlight something particularly significant for the war itself.