this post was submitted on 25 Dec 2025
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It bugs me when people complain about weather forecast inaccuracies. They're pretty accurate overall. Even when they're not perfect, I like to ask people, "What other job involves predicting the future and gets it right as often as they do?" Meteorologists are human, they're not magic.
There seems to be this pervasive and ignorant idea that just because advanced technology exists, literally everything should be possible. From expecting a perfect forecast, to wondering why blind people still exist. (I once dated someone with ocular albinism. The source of his blindness was a deficit of melanin production in his retina. There is no surgery to fix that, but even grown adults would ask, "Why can't he just get Lasik?" I mean, where to even start...)
https://www.startpage.com/av/proxy-image?piurl=https%3A%2F%2Ftse4.mm.bing.net%2Fth%2Fid%2FOIP.jC52jjQnoxcQVERXNWnXLwHaDg%3Fpid%3DApi&sp=1766676135T84a90782420127bfcca174ff887d2e8a98f98b845243704ca7b4943087b5061f These are the graphs meteorologists have to interpret. This is after models have produced the data (which includes fourth order Runge-Kutta error correction differential equations) and interpreted it into a comprehensible form. Anybody working in weather sciences is a magician in every practical way, so far as I'm concerned. I worked an internship doing some of this a while back and came away wildly impressed with the systems and knowledge required to even try to guess how weather will behave over a day, much less a week.
It's what happens when they don't know the first thing about the technology or how it solves a problem. Ignorance is rampant and it is very sad to see.