this post was submitted on 06 Jan 2026
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Programming
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Writing code with an AI as an experienced software developer is like writing code by instructing a junior developer.
... That keeps making the same mistakes over and over again because it never actually learns from what you try to teach it.
Yep, the junior is capable of learning.
Wait till I get hired as junior
Yeah, not all people who enter the industry should be doing so.
Most of this was boomers being boomers and claiming anyone and everyone should code.
My job believes the solution to this is a 7,000 line agents.md file
Sometimes. And if they're not, they'll be replaced or replace themselves.
This is not really true.
The way you teach an LLM, outside of training your own, is with rules files and MCP tools. Record your architectural constraints, favored dependencies, and style guide information in your rule files and the output you get is going to be vastly improved. Give the agent access to more information with MCP tools and it will make more informed decisions. Update them whenever you run into issues and the vast majority of your repeated problems will be resolved.
Well, that's what they say, but then it doesn't actually work, and even if it did it's not any easier or cheaper than teaching humans to do it.
More to the point, that is exactly what the people in this study were doing.
If it's doesn't work for you, it's because you're a failure!
Still not convinced these LLM bros aren't junior developers (at best) who someone gave a senior title to because everyone else left their shit hole company.
They don't really do into a lot of detail about what they were doing. But they have a table on limitations of the study that would indicate it is not.
Back to this:
In my experience, the kinds of information that an AI needs to do its job effectively has a significant overlap with the info humans need when just starting on a project. The biggest problem for onboarding is typically poor or outdated internal documentation. Fix that for your humans and you have it for your LLMs at no extra cost. Use an LLM to convert your docs into rules files and to keep them up to date.
Your argument depends entirely on the assumption that you know more about using AI to support coding than the experienced devs that participated in this study. You want to support that claim with more than a "trust me, bro"?
Do you think that like nobody has access to AI or something? These guys are the ultimate authorities on AI usage? I won't claim to be but I am a 15 YOE dev working with AI right now and I've found the quality is a lot better with better rules and context.
And, ultimately, I don't really care if you believe me or not. I'm not here to sell you anything. Don't use it the tools, doesn't matter to me. Anybody else who does use them, give my advice a try an see if it helps you.
These guys all said the same thing before they participated in a study that proved that they were less efficient than their peers.
Again, read and understand the limitations of the study. Just the portion I quoted you alone is enough to show you that you're leaning way too heavily on conclusions that they don't even claim to provide evidence for.
Codex literally lies about being connected to configured MCP servers.
Are you trying to make a point that agents can't use MCP based off of a picture of a tweet you saw or something?
I'm talking from my personal, daily experience using codex.
That is a moronic take. You would be better off learning to structure your approach to SW development than trying to learn how to use a glorified slop machine to plagiarize other people's works.
In theory yes.
In practice I find the more stuff like this you throw at it the more rope it has to hang itself with. And you spend so much time prompt adjusting so it doesn’t do the wrong things that you were better off just doing half of the tasks yourself.
Without the payoff of the next generation of developers learning.
Management: "Treat it like a junior dev"
... So where are we going to get senior devs if we're not training juniors?
Apparently some people would love to manage a fleet of virtual junior devs instead of coding themselves, I really don’t see the appeal.
I think the appeal is that they already tried to lean to code and failed.
Folks I know who are really excited about vibe coding are the ones who are tired of not having access to a programmer.
In some of their cases, vibe coding is a good enough answer. In other cases, it is not.
Their workplaces get to find out later which cases were which.
Very true. I've been saying this for years. However, the flip side is you get the best results from AI by treating it as a junior developer as well. When you do, you can in fact have a fleet of virtual junior developer working for you as a senior.
However, and I tell this to the junior I work with: you are responsible for the code you put into production, regardless if you write it yourself or you used AI. You must review what it creates because you're signing off on it.
That in turn means you may not save as much time as you think, because you have to review everything, and you have to make sure you understand everything.
But understanding will get progressively harder the more code is written by other people or AI. It's best to try to stay current with the code base as it develops.
Unfortunately this cautious approach does not align with the profit motives of those trying to replace us with AI, so I remain cynical about the future.
Usually, having to wrangle a junior developer takes a senior more time than doing the junior's job themselves. The problem grows the more juniors they're responsible for, so having LLMs stimulate a fleet of junior developers will be a massive time sink and not faster than doing everything themselves. With real juniors, though, this can still be worthwhile, as eventually they'll learn, and then require much less supervision and become a net positive. LLMs do not learn once they're deployed, though, so the only way they get better is if a cleverer model is created that can stimulate a mid-level developer, and so far, the diminishing returns of progressively larger and larger models makes it seem pretty likely that something based on LLMs won't be enough.
I'm a senior working with junior developers, guiding them through difficult tasks and delegating work to them. I also use AI for some of the work. Everything you say is correct.
However, that doesn't stop a) some seniors from spinning up several copies of AI and test them like a group of juniors and b) management from seeing this as a way to cut personnel.
I think denying these facts as a senior is just shooting yourself in the foot. We need to find the most productive ways of using AI or become obsolete.
At the same time we need to ensure that juniors can develop into future seniors. AI is throwing a major wrench in the works of that, but management won't care.
Basically, the smart thing to do is to identify where AI, seniors, and juniors all fit in. I think the bubble needs to pop before that truly happens, though. Right now there's too much excitement to cut cost/salaries with the people holding the purse strings. Until AI companies start trying to actually make a profit, that won't happen.
If LLMs aren't going to reach a point where they outperform a junior developer who needs too much micromanaging to be a net gain to productivity, then AI's not going to be a net gain to productivity, and the only productive way to use it is to fight its adoption, much like the only way to productively use keyboards that had a bunch of the letters missing would be to refuse to use them. It's not worth worrying about obsolescence until such a time as there's some evidence that they're likely to be better, just like how it wasn't worth worrying about obsolescence yet when neural nets were being worked on in the 80s.
You're not wrong, but in my personal experience AI that I've used is already at the level of a decent intern, maybe fresh junior level. There's no reason it can't improve from there. In fact I get pretty good results by working incrementally to stay within its context window.
I was around for the dotcom bubble and I expect this to go similarly: at first there is a rush to put AI into everything. Then they start realizing they have to actually make money and the frivolous stuff drops by the wayside and the useful stuff remains.
But it doesn't go away completely. After the dotcom bust, the Internet age was firmly upon us, just with less hype. I expect AI to follow a similar trend. So, we can hope for another AI winter or we can figure out where we fit in. I know which one I'm doing.
There's a pretty good reason to think it's not going to improve much. The size of models and amount of compute and training data required to create them is increasing much faster than their performance is increasing, and they're already putting serious strain on the world's ability to build and power computers, and the world's ability to get human-written text into training sets (hence why so many sites are having to deploy things like Anubis to keep themselves functioning). The levers AI companies have access to are already pulled as far as they can go, and so the slowing of improvement can only increase, and the returns can only diminish faster.
I can only say I hope you're right. I don't like the way things are going, but I need to do what I can to adapt and survive so I choose to not put my hopes on AI failing anytime soon.
By the way, thank you for the thoughtful responses and discussion.
What a wonderful statement.
I get what you are saying and agree. But corporations doing give a fuck. As long as they can keep seeing increased profits from it, it’s coming. It’s not about code quality or time or humans. It’s about profits.
Are they though? They've invested like a trillion dollars into this and it doesn't seem any closer to actually making money.
True. The AI parents are having issues. We all know OpenAI is hemorrhaging money. I think Anthropic is as well. They are all passing money between each other. But software companies, like the one I work for, don’t care what those companies are doing. As long as my company can use services provided by the AI parents, it’s not an issue if the AI parents themselves are losing money. Or if software companies can shove out their own AI feature (like the AI in ServiceNow or how Office 365 is getting some rebranding), all is well and they can brag about having AI to the shareholders.
That'll work right up until the shareholders start hearing "we got AI!" as the equivalent to "we invested in Enron!". I hope they have a plan for that.
Wow, great analogy. Might steal this to use myself.