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Valve amended the Steam survey for December 2025 - Linux actually hit another all-time high
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Is there a predictable difference between an exponential growth curve and a sigmoid curve before the linear growth section? Like I suppose you'd be able to measure the dropoff in acceleration as velocity reaches its peak, but given that this is also a random sample, sample noise would make that impossible to determine in real time.
I mean, it's a % of people who use x chart, so the only way it won't be sigmoid eventually is if it drops off as something else replaces it, but I don't think looking at the chart will help predict where the chart is going any more than how well that works with stock prices.
No, it's just a really commonly encountered curve for growth within a constrained environment. Fitting the curve could only predict where it is going with a probabilistic model anyways - it can't predict the future.