Image is of the Herðubreið tuya in northeast Iceland, formed when ice sheets covered Iceland thousands of years ago. It's not really relevant to the Grindavik situation but I think they look neat. The title also doesn't make much sense but I saw the pun and took it.
Off in Iceland, different kinds of tunnels are causing problems. Underneath the town of Grindavik in southwestern Iceland, not far from the capital of Reykjavik, tens of thousands of earthquakes are portending the movement of magma in tunnels underneath the peninsula, which could breach the surface and cause an eruption. The 4000 residents of the town have been evacuated as the magma has risen to less than a kilometer below the surface.^TRG^
Icelandic volcanism is pretty fascinating, with the country sitting on the mid-Atlantic ridge, the birthing line of new oceanic crustal rock running right down the Atlantic ocean for many thousands of kilometers, as well as a hotspot, an upwelling of mantle material of debated origin which also feeds otherwise-inexplicable volcanism in the middle of tectonic plates, like Yellowstone and Hawaii.
An additional factor here is the presence of glaciers. When a volcano erupts underneath a glacier, the melting water cools the lava rapidly, causing features usually seen in volcanoes that erupt under the sea like pillow basalts, but also unique features like tuyas, which are steep-sided but flat-topped volcanoes. The rapid melting of water can also cause glacial floods called jökulhlaups.
Icelandic volcanoes have had significant regional and even global impacts in the past. In 2010, the volcano Eyjafjallajökull, which was a volcano covered by an ice cap, erupted and the ash cloud spread across Europe, causing airline disruption for about a month which caused nearly $2 billion in total losses for airline companies - though this seems pretty quaint compared to the pandemic's impact on airlines in retrospect. Back in the 1780s, the Laki volcano killed a quarter of the Icelandic population due to sulphur dioxide causing massive crop failure and cattle death. This eruption's impacts spread to Europe and beyond, causing notable worldwide temperature drops and thus crop failures and may well have been a contributing factor to the outbreak of the French Revolution, which obviously heralded the death of the feudal order and the eventual primacy of capitalism in its place. That being said, any eruption at Grindavik is very probably not going to have any significant worldwide impacts - there are over a hundred volcanoes already in Iceland, and regular climate change is doing a great job at causing mayhem right now anyway. It's also still possible that there won't be an eruption at all, at least not in the short to medium term.
Friendly reminder: when commenting about a news event, especially something that just happened, please provide a source of some kind. While ideally this would be on nitter or archived, any source is preferable to none at all given.
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.
The Country of the Week is Iceland! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.
This week's update is here!
Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.
Links and Stuff
The bulletins site is down.
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Add to the above list if you can.
Resources For Understanding The War
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Telegram Channels
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
Pro-Russian
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Last week's discussion post.
From a Resistance fighter the last time Israel tried an offensive against Gaza:
The battle lines and colored-in map areas are essentially meaningless because the Resistance isn't housed above the ground. The Resistance can't ultimately hold back Israel from entering any particular area, but they can deal immense damage and ambush them. An "encirclement" means literally nothing when you're not actually encircling any troops, nor cutting off any supply lines. Like, seriously, what is the Israel encirclement actually achieving beyond civilian losses? What is its military purpose? It's a mere propaganda device. We've been raised on the idea that "X force has encircled a city" means that X force is therefore in control. But it simply isn't a relevant factor in this conflict because of the tunnels and stockpiled supplies and weapons.
Combine this with the Zionist entity's very explicit interest in making them appear as if they are not only winning, but have already won, and the only actual thing worth debating is whether Gaza City should become a futuristic Israeli city or a nice seaside resort. It's all a lie. I still maintain 100% certainty that this is the terminal crisis of Israel. So long as the Resistance is motivated and in great spirits and fighting back, I have no reason nor even right to feel demoralized or defeated about the military operation.
Israel might not have taken many lessons from Ukraine's military experience in Russia, but they certainly know how to do the propaganda war part. But their propaganda does not match reality, and as the conflict continues to escalate and Israel continues to face deaths and casualties in the hundreds and thousands inside Gaza and hundreds of vehicles continue to be destroyed, this will become increasingly obvious. Hamas has planned this for years. They know exactly what they are doing, not only planned for, but hoped for Israel to enter Gaza en masse in the way they are doing, maintain the capability of striking Tel Aviv with rockets (they did so yesterday), and possess both the biggest fighting force they have ever had but also weapons that are meaningfully able to take out Israel vehicles and soldiers, not slingshots tossing rocks.
Hamas isn't losing. It isn't even stalemating. It is actively winning.
You have stated on several occasions that you are sure this will be the end of the zionist entity. Would you care to elaborate on why you are so certain? What prevents the occupiers from declaring that Hamas has been defeated one they've killed an arbitrary number of Palestinians and going back to besieging Gaza from the outside? Hezbollah is certainly a factor in the conflict but they seem hesitant to engage fully out of fear of retaliation. If the zionists were to claim victory and de-escalate I don't think Hezbollah would keep up the pressure.
The
banner drops and a dozen sleeper cells in israel show up at the victory party 
and 
The IDF look like the biggest cucks in history. Hezbollah, Iran and it's proxies and Syria roll in the next day and the war is over in a week.
I know you asked specificaly about the mil situation but honestly the only hope is for them to hold out until the 2024 US election campaign season. The Biden team can't afford to have another on-going war without a clear US victory.
Ukraine is already an embarassament with nowhere left to go, there is no more offensive, no more magical weapon to send. Its either full NATO intervention or admit defeat. One of the long standing predictions is the war would end once Poland/NATO invades western Ukraine, claim they're freedom fighters/liberators against Russia and draw the WW3 line over Kiev. Russia would gladly take their winnings at that point.
So with Israel's bad PR right now it seems very unlikely Biden can also take another FP "loss" here, nobody but hardcore zionists can spin the widespread UN rejection as a "win", specialy when there is no victory, there is no Saddam/Bin Laden corpse etc. Eventually people wont care about Israel but they'll care if the rhetoric becomes "why is the US funding not just one but two wars while inflation skyrockets and the economy sucks?"
Ultimately we know the most likely trajectory is confrontation with China and Israel is a distraction. If that is the case it means the resistence only needs to survive for as long as Biden can afford wasting time.
China is a very special key point because Americans can more easily identify with anti-Chinese cause if Biden frames China as the old "they're stealing our jobs", they "not competing fairly". They want to put the economic blame on China, along with the obvious imperialist goals, politicaly this is the key reason.
So if you want to make an optimist prediction this is stalling for time until the US pulls the plug. Maybe you could say its useful in the end nobody escalated against Israel to justify a full war yet, it certainly helps this particular analysis even though its quite questionable.