this post was submitted on 05 Nov 2025
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DRAM contract prices surged 171.8% year-over-year as of the third quarter of 2025. The increase now exceeds the rate at which gold prices have climbed. ADATA chairman Chen Libai stated that the fourth quarter of 2025 will mark the beginning of a major DRAM bull market. He expects severe shortages to materialize in 2026.

Memory manufacturers have shifted production priorities toward datacenter-focused memory types like RDIMM and HBM. Consumer DDR5 production has declined as a result. A Corsair Vengeance RGB dual-channel DDR5 kit that sold for $91 dollars in July now costs a $183 dollars on Newegg. The pricing trend extends to NAND flash and hard drives. Analysts project the increases will persist for at least four years, matching the duration of supply contracts that some companies have signed with Samsung and SK Hynix.

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[–] Beacon@fedia.io 21 points 6 days ago (1 children)

And after the ai bubble bursts the prices will come down, right?

The price will go down, right?

[–] Ceruleum@lemmy.wtf 1 points 5 days ago

Compared with the prices of all the rest? Sure!

[–] tal@lemmy.today 16 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago) (2 children)

The pricing trend extends to NAND flash and hard drives.

Looks like we're going to be running out of CPUs too.

https://www.tweaktown.com/news/108473/intels-chip-supply-to-be-depleted-in-early-2026-pc-and-server-cpu-demand-beyond-expectation/index.html

Intel's chip supply to 'be depleted' in early 2026: PC and server CPU demand beyond expectation

[–] Alphane_Moon@lemmy.world 9 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago) (1 children)

There goes my plan for building a new AM5/Zen 6 based desktop next year.

[–] ChapulinColorado@lemmy.world 2 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

I had to delay mine by about 2 years waiting for GPUs to come down. Ended up building the system without one until I got something slightly more reasonable (kept 2015 card for a while since that was still newer than the rest of the system core [2012-ish]). It does suck knowing that nothing of value was the reason (crypto at the time).

[–] avidamoeba@lemmy.ca 2 points 5 days ago (1 children)

Should we pre-buy for the next 5 years? I've been delaying some upgrades but that seems like an exceedingly bad idea.

[–] tal@lemmy.today 3 points 5 days ago

I wouldn't feel qualified to give informed advice on that, sorry.

[–] candyman337@lemmy.world 13 points 5 days ago

Ai is taking literally all our resources all over the wrong and yet we keep shoveling shit ok the pile. It's failed and they're trying to shove more money and resources at the issues to fix someone that ain't broken, it's just a failure. This is fuckign ridiculous

[–] CheesyFingers@piefed.social 11 points 5 days ago

AI ruining computer component prices one by one. I'll keep my old hardware.

[–] picnic@lemmy.world 7 points 5 days ago

And ddr4 production has been phased down so that drives the older (but still perfectly usable) ram prices sky high

[–] scottmeme@sh.itjust.works 5 points 6 days ago

So glad I just built my PC

[–] Harbinger01173430@lemmy.world 4 points 5 days ago

God damn. Thankfully I upgraded to AM5 a month ago and avoided this shit. AliExpress helped save quite some money compared to local prices

[–] BigDaddySlim@lemmy.world 3 points 5 days ago (1 children)

I just bought a 2x8GB DDR4-3200 kit of G.skill Ripjaws at Microcenter for $59.99 on Oct 19th. The same set is currently on sale for $89.99 and original price is $119.99. Absolutely wild, I hope I don't have any RAM die in the near future. I do have a spare kit of Corsair Vengeance DDR4 somewhere so I guess I'm safe on that front, but I feel bad for anyone currently or planning to build a new system.

[–] cyrl@lemmy.world 2 points 4 days ago

I just had a mishap that resulted in a system booting unexpectedly whilst a stick of RAM wasnt seated properly. The stick is dead as a dodo.

It was a Corsair 16GB 3000MHz DDR4 and the price to replace it is slightly more than I paid for a pair of them last year.

Luckily its a bit surplus right now as my NAS rebuild is only 2666MHz max so I can replace it with 2 stick of cheaper used RAM for 2/3 the price of the one replacement.

Prices are nuts right now.

I've put down the cash for ECC for my main NAS, but can't justify it for the offsite backup I'm putting together.