this post was submitted on 09 Nov 2025
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[–] yesman@lemmy.world 191 points 1 week ago (11 children)

So, if the AI bubble pops, it'll be a great time to build a PC

[–] Blue_Morpho@lemmy.world 116 points 1 week ago (4 children)

Like there won't be some other hype to immediately take it's place. Just like Bitcoin GPU prices never collapsed because it went right into AI hype.

[–] Feyd@programming.dev 54 points 1 week ago (1 children)

The next hype lined up is quantum

[–] realitista@lemmus.org 54 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Fortunately they won't need most normal PC hardware for this. At least not CPU's and GPUs AFAIK.

[–] Ludicrous0251@piefed.zip 45 points 1 week ago (1 children)

"Quantum emulation" all the hype, 1/1000th the efficiency, 1000X the excuses to sell hardware

[–] anomnom@sh.itjust.works 8 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

I was about to post this, but call it virtualized quantum.

It’ll probably just be LLMs claiming to have the same probability as a quantum calculator and just spit out made up primes so long we wont be able easily check them.

[–] YiddishMcSquidish@lemmy.today 12 points 1 week ago (10 children)

Tbf Bitcoin didn't fuck with the GPU market, that was more etherium's doing

[–] Blue_Morpho@lemmy.world 46 points 1 week ago (3 children)

Bitcoin trashed the GPU market before moving on to Asics. Then other coins kept going on GPUs.

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[–] Pistcow@lemmy.world 33 points 1 week ago

*Home server farm.

[–] Wispy2891@lemmy.world 19 points 1 week ago (1 children)

There are a lot of "refurbished" drives from when the Chia bubble popped (a useless shitcoin that wasted HDD space with garbage data as a proof of cryptographic work)

[–] calcopiritus@lemmy.world 12 points 1 week ago (4 children)

Data storage devices are the last items you wanna buy second hand though. A drive failing could mean much more than just having to buy a new one.

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[–] shalafi@lemmy.world 16 points 1 week ago

When the AI bubble pops we'll all be too broke to buy any PC anything.

The Buffett Index, America's total stock valuation vs. GDP, is at 200%. It was around 130% in 1929, 2000 and 2007. Guess what? Chicken butts. (is what we'll all be eating)

[–] SanctimoniousApe@lemmings.world 13 points 1 week ago

THIS is what I'm looking forward to. I'm guessing it'll start sometime next year, so shortly after Christmas '26 will be the optimal time -at least that's my long-term plan.

I thought similar during the GPU crypto mining phase. There's always something blocking cheap PCs.

[–] someacnt@sh.itjust.works 6 points 1 week ago

Wish I could confidently say that it is going to pop soon, but I am not sure the current rebound is the bull trap. Maybe the correction was just a small blip in a huge bubble..

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[–] SW42@lemmy.world 78 points 1 week ago (2 children)

Oh for fucks sake… I wanted to expand my NAS… Crypto was (is still responsible) for the shit state of the GPU Market and now it’s the next scam.

[–] imetators@lemmy.dbzer0.com 26 points 1 week ago (2 children)

Just got 12TB IronWolf last week for an average price if 260euro. Delivery is long but other than that, price is average.

Checked just right now - average 310euro for the same HDD. From the place I picked mine - 293. SCORE!

Thinking about this for a minute - that's probably pre-Black-Friday prices. We'll see

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[–] black_flag@lemmy.dbzer0.com 71 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Fuck you, fuck you, fuck you, fuck you, fuck you, fuck you, fuck you, fuck you, fuck you, fuck you, fuck you, fuck you, fuck you, fuck you, fuck you, fuck you

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[–] rafoix@lemmy.zip 57 points 1 week ago (5 children)

What else are these data centers going to hoard?

Jobs, GPUs, water, hard drives

[–] sefra1@lemmy.zip 52 points 1 week ago (1 children)
[–] 1Fuji2Taka3Nasubi@piefed.zip 15 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Ironic Microsoft doesn’t have enough electricity to power their hoarded gpus.

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[–] roofuskit@lemmy.world 54 points 1 week ago

Remember a year or so ago when they all spun down production so they could charge more money for drives? I do.

[–] LodeMike@lemmy.today 50 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Oh this must be for ~~training~~ stolen data

[–] SanctimoniousApe@lemmings.world 29 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

When it all comes crashing down, at least the Internet Archive could have easy & cheap access to it all. I trust them to handle it more responsibly than the AI bros.

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[–] axum@lemmy.blahaj.zone 41 points 1 week ago (3 children)

First outrageous DDR5 RAM prices now ssd's.

Welp. Won't be upgrading my pc for the next few years I see

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[–] RememberTheApollo_@lemmy.world 40 points 1 week ago (14 children)

AI crap. Infesting everything. Search of all kinds, photo management, telephone menus, who knows what else. And it does none of it well.

I don’t have issues with local AIs, for things like searching your local immich instance, or controlling your local Home Assistant devices. That photo of a bird you took 3’ish years ago? Yeah, you can find it in like three seconds with a local AI search. Want to turn the lights on with a voice request? AI is one of the easiest ways for a layman to handle the language processing side of things. All of that is a drop in the ocean.

But corporations have been trying to cram it into everything, even when it’s not a good fit for what they want to do. And so far, their solution to making it fit hasn’t been to rethink their usage and consider whether or not it will actually improve a product. Instead, their approach has simply been to build more and bigger data centers, to throw increasing amounts of processing power at the problem.

The technology itself isn’t inherently harmful on the small scale. But it has followed the same pattern as climate change. Individual consumers are blamed for climate change, and are consistently urged to change their consumption habits… When it’s actually a handful of corporations producing the vast majority of greenhouse emissions. Even if every single person drastically changed their emission habits, it would barely make a dent in the overall production. It was all because of massive astroturfed PR campaigns to shift the blame away from those companies and onto individuals. And we’ve seen that same thing happen with AI, where individual users have been blamed for using AI, instead of the massive corporations.

[–] WorldsDumbestMan@lemmy.today 8 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Think of all the cheap hardware being resold when the AI bubble pops.

[–] RememberTheApollo_@lemmy.world 8 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (3 children)

There wasn’t as big of a price drop as I thought there would be when the crypto mining switched to ASIC from GPUs. Don’t know if all that hardware just got dumped or is sitting in a rack rotting somewhere. Hope that we get cheaper prices when the bubble pops, this artificial scarcity sucks.

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[–] apftwb@lemmy.world 36 points 1 week ago

RAID5, don't fail me now!

[–] Aceticon@lemmy.dbzer0.com 32 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

TL;DR

QLC drives have fewer write-cycles than TLC and if their data is not refreshed periodically (which their controllers will automatically do when powered) the data in them gets corrupted faster.

In other words, under heavy write usage they will last less time and at the other end when used for long term storage of data, they need to be powered much more frequently merelly to refresh the stored states (by reading and writting back the data).

So moving to QLC in cloud application comes with mid and long terms costs in terms of power usage and, more importantly, drive end-of-life and replacement.

--

Quad Level Cell SSD technology stores 4 bits per cell - hence 16 levels - whilst TLC (Triple Level Cell) stores 3 bits - hence 8 levels - so the voltage difference between levels is half as much, and so is the margin between levels.

Everything deep down is analog, so the digital circuitry actually stores analog values on the cells at then reads them back and converts them to digital. When reading that analog value, the digital circuit has to decide to which digital value that analog value actual maps to, which it does by basically accepting any analog value within a certain range aroun the mathematically perfect value for that digital state.

(A simple example: in a 3.3V data line, when the I/O pin of a microcontroller reads the voltage it will decide for example that anything below 1.2V is a digital LOW (i.e. a zero), anything above 2.1V is a HIGH (a one) and anything in between is an erroneous value - i.e. no signal or a corrupted signal - this by the way is why if you make the line between a sender and a receiver digital chip too long, many meters, or change the signals in them too fast, hundreds of MHz+, without any special techniques to preserve signal integrity, the receiver will mainly read garbage)

So the more digital levels in a single cell the narrower the margin, the more likely that due to the natural decay over time of the stored signal or due cell damage from repeat writes, the analog value the digital circuitry reads from it be too far away from the stored digital level and be at best marked as erroneous or at worse be at a different level and thus yield a different digital value.

All this to say that QLC has less endurance (i.e. after fewer writes the damage to the cells from use causes that what is read is not the same value as what was written) and it also has less retention (i.e. if the cell is not powered, the signal decay will more quickly cause stored values to end up at a different level than when written).

Now, whilst for powered systems the retention problem is not much of an issue for cloud storage (when powered, the system automatically goes through each cell, reading its value and writting it back to refresh what's stored there back to the mathematically perfect analog value) with just a slightly higher consumption over time for data that's mainly read only (for flash memory, writting uses way more power than reading), the endurance problem is much worse for QLC because the cells will age twice as fast over TLC for data that is frequently written (wear-leveling exists to spreads this effect over all cells thus giving higher overall endurance, but wear-leveling is also in there for TLC so it does not improve the endurance of QLC).

[–] PissingIntoTheWind@lemmy.world 29 points 1 week ago (1 children)

This collapse when we only need 1/100 of what they are planning. Because not everyone is going to need a massive data center. Just like cars, computers and every other technology. It starts out diverse than shrinksssssssss.

[–] Bababasti@feddit.org 24 points 1 week ago (7 children)

Just thinking about all the electronic waste this is gonna generate is making me feel all icky

[–] regedit@lemmy.zip 8 points 1 week ago

Now may not be a good time to tell you about the Windows 10 EoL that recently lapsed, then.

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[–] salacious_coaster 28 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I noticed the price doubled since the last time I ordered a drive, like a year ago.

[–] PancakesCantKillMe@lemmy.world 19 points 1 week ago

Yah. Now is a good time to sit tight and wait if you can.

[–] carrylex@lemmy.world 17 points 1 week ago

Note: Posted by the same media outlet that reported last week about the 9700X3D with zero fact checking

[–] FundMECFS@anarchist.nexus 13 points 1 week ago (2 children)

Why HDD’s?

I thought LLMs ran on a fuckload of VRAM and thats pretty much it. So the GPU market was the main affected?

[–] LodeMike@lemmy.today 10 points 1 week ago

Stolen data

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[–] HugeNerd@lemmy.ca 9 points 1 week ago (8 children)

Ouch, I picked the wrong time to finally upgrade from my 12 year old laptop and Windows 7?

[–] HertzDentalBar@lemmy.blahaj.zone 7 points 1 week ago (2 children)

Just install Linux on it. My laptop is from 2011 and I've got bazzite on it and it's been great. That should atleast get you through the bubble

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