this post was submitted on 06 Mar 2026
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Political Memes

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[–] GuyIncognito@lemmy.ca 21 points 23 hours ago (3 children)

Just ban it, gambling used to be illegal in a lot of places.

[–] PalmTreeIsBestTree@lemmy.world 12 points 22 hours ago (1 children)

Please ban all online betting and only make it legal at places where you have to actually go there in person to do. Impulse gambling on smartphones and prediction markets are straight cancer to society.

[–] GuyIncognito@lemmy.ca 2 points 22 hours ago
[–] Akasazh@lemmy.world 4 points 21 hours ago

It's only gambling if you don't know the outcome!

[–] Mulligrubs@lemmy.world -4 points 22 hours ago (2 children)

It used to be illegal to run away from your plantation, too.

No reason to outlaw this, why bother? People have always made wagers, and they enjoy it.

[–] GuyIncognito@lemmy.ca 1 points 17 hours ago

People enjoy making wagers with friends and acquaintance. Gambling apps are highly addictive commercial products which have negative value to society. Ban them and shoot the owners and shareholders.

You're stuck in the aesthetic phase of development.

[–] MortUS@lemmy.world 4 points 19 hours ago* (last edited 18 hours ago) (1 children)

I saw Coinbase was allowing buying/selling stocks 24/7

Commercialism has overtaken the internet. We're in full corruption mode now. Without enforcing rules and regulations, this is where society ends up.

How do we make non-religious churches for decent people? Can we start that movement and move up from there?

[–] DarkSpectrum@lemmy.world 2 points 18 hours ago

Bhuddism and Zen Bhuddism are not religions, they are philosophies, a different way of viewing the world. They don't require a church, a congregation or for you to believe anything. One reaches an understanding of cosmic unity by exploring the boundries of self. In fact, one of the first hurdles is accepting that you know very little which in turn births humble curiosity about the nature of existence. This movement has been growing for a while, might be time to look into it. Personally I found the best way to cut through the non essential periphery and get to the core of the ideas was through listening to Alan Watts.

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 7 points 23 hours ago (1 children)

There's always someone on the other side of these bets. How is it that people keep betting on things like this when they know that insiders like this are the ones they're sometimes betting against?

[–] SaveTheTuaHawk@lemmy.ca 4 points 23 hours ago

The point is this bullshit market can influence decisions, like whether to have a nuclear strike on Iran -you think a Trump family member would not try to cash in on that?

[–] xxce2AAb@feddit.dk 70 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Polymarket needs some serious eradication.

[–] smeg 29 points 1 day ago

Correct answer. It creates extremely perverse incentives in society to allow people to bet on large scale harm.

[–] NihilsineNefas@slrpnk.net 12 points 1 day ago (2 children)
[–] CannedYeet@lemmy.world 1 points 20 hours ago (1 children)

FWIW Polymarket took down that specific prediction.

[–] NihilsineNefas@slrpnk.net 1 points 20 hours ago

Took down or made private?

Either way I want every person alive to know the names and faces of anyone that put money on it.

But unfortunately I know that won't happen, especially when the chief in diaper himself is willing to bomb an elementary school full of kids to distract people from the fact he diddled kids from active warzones and destabilised countries

[–] HasturInYellow@lemmy.world 2 points 1 day ago

Always have been.

I have simply determined that I will have my pound of flesh before the end.

Gambling is haram for a reason. 🤷

(And yeah, I know much of it happens in or goes through some Gulf institutions, don't worry I hate those hypocrites also).

[–] Squirrelsdrivemenuts@lemmy.world 48 points 1 day ago (5 children)

Wait.. why the fuck is there a betting site where you can bet on wars starting. What in the immoral fuck is that even about?

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 13 points 23 hours ago

Boiling frogs.

  1. Farmers want a way to sell their crops before harvest time to guarantee a certain price, so they're protected by unpredictable swings in price. A market is set up for commodity futures, so a speculator can take that deal, and maybe make a lot of money if the price she sets with the farmer is well below the actual market value. This is seen as a good thing because the farmer gets to reduce their risk, while someone else gets the opportunity to make money by taking that risk on the farmer's behalf.
  2. This system expands like a cancer, so professional investors are soon buying derivatives on all kinds of things. Sometimes this is arguably good for the world, but many times it's just complex gambling, and it results in the housing-based financial collapse of 2007-08. Hedge funds and investment bankers manage to convince the regulators to let them keep the system as is, despite the crash.
  3. Wall street pushes to allow random people with no financial power, no training, no knowledge to also be able to get involved with derivatives, because having idiots on the other side of their bets is great for their bottom lines. It's much easier to make money from some random person using an app than it is to make money off another professional investor.
  4. Some clever person manages to reskin a gambling app as if it were an investment app, and allows people to "buy derivatives contracts" on just about anything. Nobody honestly believes that this is anything other than gambling. But, the regulators are all compromised and toothless, so now you can gamble on any of the 4 horsemen: war, famine, death or disease.
[–] Rothe@piefed.social 11 points 1 day ago

The answer to all of your question is: The US.

[–] DreamlandLividity@lemmy.world 3 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Creative interpretation of reality. Polymarket pretends it is not a betting platform, since betting on wars and similar shit is banned even in the US.

[–] FinalRemix@lemmy.world 4 points 1 day ago (1 children)

You can bet on anything, man. It's like Money Plane but with words writing.

[–] Squirrelsdrivemenuts@lemmy.world 3 points 1 day ago (2 children)

My innocent european ass has never heard of money plane or polymarket before.

[–] SaveTheTuaHawk@lemmy.ca 2 points 22 hours ago (1 children)

It's been a thing in UK for decades. Big with morons.

People actually throw money away on this sort of shit?

[–] SaveTheTuaHawk@lemmy.ca 1 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago)

It's about the USA in 2026? Been in jail or something?

[–] henfredemars 83 points 1 day ago (2 children)

This seems like a great argument to just never use the under-regulated betting markets.

[–] OwOarchist@pawb.social 29 points 1 day ago

Unless you're privy to some insider information you can make bets about. Then you absolutely should.

[–] Remember_the_tooth@lemmy.world 10 points 1 day ago (4 children)

I don't like gambling. I worry about regulation driving it underground, though. I'd rather just see winnings taxed heavily, immediately and without exception or deduction. Invest it in social safety nets and it's effectively forcing the winners to share their loot with the most vulnerable of the people they're victimizing.

[–] Bronzebeard@lemmy.zip 1 points 17 hours ago

Except these bets can actually drive behavior. And they're betting on the murder of thousands. It's Incentivizing the acts. They need to be stopped

[–] jtrek@startrek.website 7 points 1 day ago

That doesn't really address people betting on horrible things and then making them happen.

Also "it will just go underground" is still kind of a win? The average person isn't going to navigate sketchy underground arrangements, but they'll find a slick website with good SEO.

[–] pomegranatefern@sh.itjust.works 1 points 20 hours ago* (last edited 20 hours ago)

Gambling, like a lot of other things, is a high dopamine reward behavior which can be fun recreationally but also lead to serious addictions. Prohibition-only approaches to things like this tend to just lead to it becoming a widespread source of funds for organized crime, and so I tend to favor a public health perspective which involves legalization with heavy regulation and taxation + behavioral health support as a part of a robust safety net.

That having been said, this to me is a strong indication that there are some things it should not be legal to bet on.

But also I'm also pretty sure that this is illegal under the Commodities Exchange Act already? So this feels like either a loophole in emphatic need of closing, or, more likely, the law just no longer fucking mattering under this administration because too many of the enforcers are corrupt.

[–] minfapper@piefed.social 4 points 1 day ago (1 children)

won't that still have the same effect of driving it underground though?

Yeah, to a certain extent. The nice things about taxes is that they can be dialed up and down for effect. Complete, tax-free deregulation would obviously be crazy. 100% tax would pretty much be a ban and drive it all underground. Somewhere between 0 and 100, there's an equilibrium point. Also, conflict of interest should be regulated. I don't need police betting on how many gunshot victims there will be today.

[–] ieatpwns@lemmy.world 6 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

And kalshi and he’s starting his own.

https://lemmy.world/comment/22209710

[–] WanderWisley@lemmy.world 5 points 1 day ago

Damn the price of cocaine is about to skyrocket.

[–] Tempus_Fugit@lemmy.world 31 points 1 day ago (1 children)

I refuse to participate in Biff Tannen's world! I know I'm likely to be the minority, but I'm a stubborn SOAB!

[–] tektite@slrpnk.net 18 points 1 day ago (1 children)
[–] Tempus_Fugit@lemmy.world 9 points 1 day ago

"Psycho groupie, cocaine crazy!"

[–] thethunderwolf@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 23 hours ago* (last edited 23 hours ago)

So, monitor Polymarket for massive bets on things the US government could do, and copy those bets.

[–] phoenixz@lemmy.ca 3 points 1 day ago

Ant sources on this? I already believe you, because it's a trump, but I'd like to see the evidence so we have something more to slap into magat faces

[–] gezero@sopuli.xyz 9 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

The purpose is to give incentive to knowledgeable parties to let us know up front. In a corrupt government status like the current one we should be happy that we can get few hours heads up before the bombs start falling.

They are not going to warn you for free...

[–] kingofras@lemmy.world 5 points 1 day ago

Come on, why did you use an AI tool to make his nose look like this.