this post was submitted on 08 Nov 2023
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With QBs that have retired in the last 5 years, there are some interesting HOF debates that I see coming up. Right now the sure-fire HOF guys are Brady, Brees, and Rodgers when he retires. The next tier, however, is a lot more interesting. You have Matt Ryan, Big Ben, and Rivers who are all very close. What's interesting is that according to Pro Football Reference's HOF Monitor, they all have fairly similar scores even though they have different resumes. Ryan has the MVP/All-Pro 1 season which is pretty much required unless you have 2 Super Bowls. Ben doesn't have a crazy MVP season, but he does have those 2 Super Bowls and 17 good years. Then Rivers has some crazy counting stats. I think that Ryan and Roethlisberger have a slight edge over Rivers but it is very hard to separate the 3. So my question is do we think any of them make it? If they do it opens up the debate for a lot of players in the future. Also, how do we think the HOF committee weighs Rings/MVPS/All-Pro teams? The media is always so focused on the rings but looking at the resumes of HOF QBs there are a lot more without rings than there are without All-Pro seasons.

Edit: Here is the PFR Monitor. The average HOF QB has a score of 108. Ryan has a score of 106, Ben has a score of 100, and Rivers is at 98.

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[–] EnjoyMoreBeef@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Regarding Ben Roethlisberger, name me one eligible NFL QB who has started in three Super Bowls but is not in the Hall of Fame.

Also, I think it's fair to say that playing QB in the AFC North is more difficult than playing QB in the AFC West or NFC South. There's no climate-controlled indoor stadium or sunny southern California in the AFC North. Instead, some QBs get their brains bashed in by the Ravens and Bengals defenses, often in poor weather conditions. It's hard for a QB to keep his numbers pretty in a situation like that.

Overall, this is how I see the pre-2016 era of NFL QBs, listed in chronological order by entry into the league:

In on the first ballot

  • Peyton Manning
  • Tom Brady
  • Drew Brees
  • Aaron Rodgers

In, but not on the first ballot

  • Kurt Warner
  • Eli Manning
  • Ben Roethlisberger

Probably in

  • Russell Wilson

Borderline

  • Philip Rivers
  • Matt Ryan

Hall of Very Good

  • Donovan McNabb
  • Carson Palmer
  • Tony Romo
  • Alex Smith
  • Matthew Stafford
  • Cam Newton

As for the QBs who have entered the NFL since 2016, Patrick Mahomes is the only one with a clear path to the Hall of Fame. The rest of them still have a lot to prove, but also a lot of time to prove it.

[–] EnjoyMoreBeef@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Regarding Ben Roethlisberger, name me one eligible NFL QB who has started in three Super Bowls but is not in the Hall of Fame.

Also, I think it's fair to say that playing QB in the AFC North is more difficult than playing QB in the AFC West or NFC South. There's no climate-controlled indoor stadium or sunny southern California in the AFC North. Instead, some QBs get their brains bashed in by the Ravens and Bengals defenses, often in poor weather conditions. It's hard for a QB to keep his numbers pretty in a situation like that.

Overall, this is how I see the pre-2016 era of NFL QBs, listed chronologically by entry into the league:

In on the first ballot

  • Peyton Manning
  • Tom Brady
  • Drew Brees
  • Aaron Rodgers

In, but not on the first ballot

  • Kurt Warner
  • Eli Manning
  • Ben Roethlisberger

Probably in

  • Russell Wilson

Borderline

  • Donovan McNabb
  • Philip Rivers
  • Matt Ryan

Hall of Very Good

  • Carson Palmer
  • Tony Romo
  • Alex Smith
  • Matthew Stafford
  • Cam Newton

As for the QBs who have entered the NFL since 2016, Patrick Mahomes is the only one with a clear path to the Hall of Fame. The rest of them still have a lot to prove, but also a lot of time to prove it.

[–] TrillSports@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Ben, Rivers and Matt all get in. May not be first ballot but they will eventually

[–] belizeanheat@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

I have Big Ben way ahead of Rivers and Ryan.

Even throwing away all stats, he's the only one of those guys who was ever a scary opponent in a meaningful game

[–] KarmaDeliveryMan@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Big Ben yes. Rivers no unless a long wait on the ballot. Matty is a no. Probably bc of 28-3

[–] Chaminade64@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Phillip Rivers is a lock for Babymaker HOF.

[–] Impressive-Shape-557@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Big Ben gets in. 2 SB rings and a franchise QB for like 16 years.

Matt Ryan would’ve gotten in if he had that SB.

Phillip Rivers is a no.

You forget Eli Manning. Who has two rings against the GOAT and an undefeated team as underdogs. Wasn’t great, but super clutch in the playoffs and SB.

[–] Brandwin3@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

I would also like to say Eli Manning should be in this same conversation. 2 SB MVPs and a long career as a starter definitely puts him on the same level as these guys. Not saying he should be in but I feel he is being left out here

[–] MIGHT_CONTAIN_NUTS@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Ryan and Rivera have no shot.

[–] Proof_Description304@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

sorry but rivers and ryan don't belong in the hall of fame imo. big ben absolutely does. you should need to make an actual impact on the NFL to be there. ryan didn't do enough notable things and rivers was...good? he should get employee of the month for how reliable he was in terms of attending games but i cant recall any great plays of his. Ben won 2 super bowls and was the face of his franchise. He's a tier above the other 2 and to me thats just plain obvious

[–] PorpoiseBoyy@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago
[–] _Extrachromosome_@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

How you could mention Arron rogers but not Big Ben is ridiculous. Same caliber. Similar stats. Similar accolades.

[–] BiscayneBeast@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Eli Manning should not be a HOFer based on his horrendous consistencyl and win/loss record as QB, but unfortunately because of name, media presence, and iron man quality he's going to get in. But on pure talent he's not a HOFer.

[–] brvheart@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Rapists should not be elected to the hall of fame.

[–] IsGoIdMoney@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Big Ben has two rings and great all time stats. No idea how you consider him in the tier with Philip Rivers and Matt Ryan and below Brees.

[–] hokaythxbai@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Ryan has a reputation for blowing leads imo. Not just SB51 and 33-0, I swear the falcons had at least 10 games where they were 95+% likely to win and still lost under Ryan.

[–] Booster93@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Matt Ryan nor Stafford should get in. I never saw them as some of the greatest QBs ever if our time.

Eli should not get in but he is only getting in off his name , and winning 2 rings vs peak brady in epic fashion.

Rivers should get in but he won’t because he doesn’t have a ring but he actually was one of the best QBs ever.

If they had started and finished their careers 10 years earlier with the same stats , it’d be a yes but we’re in a different era now guys you gotta factor that in.

[–] YZYSZN1107@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

I thought Big Ben was a no brainer. Pivotal part of 2 SB's. Ryan and Rivers were good but not HOF worthy. It's ok that not every good QB get's into the hall.

[–] KloppsTotts@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

They just need to be more strict. Big Ben as 2 rings and a ton of winning seasons, he’s in. Ryan and Rivers are not in. They were just good QBs for a while.

[–] Secret_Poem8814@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Ben and Philip are in.

[–] genesis1v9@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Eli Manning is making it before Rivers and Ryan that’s for sure.

[–] Dominate_on_three@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Completely agree. No one cares about Philip Rivers and his big regular season numbers. Matt Ryan is a joke. Sorry but an MVP season and a Super Bowl epic fail. Isn't it.

Eli on the other hand -- ultra clutch, 2 bowls against Darth Vader, played in NYC, and he's still relevant and funny.

It's the hall of fame not the hall of stats. Eli 100% before either of these guys. Matt Ryan give me a break.

[–] Upstairs-Presence205@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago (1 children)

QB HOF status needs to be disconnected from how many superbowls they've won. No other position is tied to it and frankly some QBs that are in the HOF because of it were in part carried there by their team.

[–] GiddyUp18@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago (2 children)

No other position in any sport is an important to a team’s success as quarterback. Super Bowl wins should absolutely be considered. It would be absurd not to.

[–] Statalyzer@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Whichever position the superstar is in basketball is more important because you play both offense and defense and are 1 of 5 rather than 1 of 11.

[–] GiddyUp18@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

That’s false. The quarterback touches the ball on every play, and everything starts with him. It’s so much more important than any other position in sports. In a basketball game (you didn’t even name an actual position), a particular player might not even touch the ball every time down the court. It’s easier to neutralize a basketball player with double teams than it is to completely take a QB out of the game and make him a non-factor, which is impossible. Because again, everything starts with the QB, and everything flows through him. There is no position in any other sport that is remotely close to as important as quarterback.

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[–] QueasyStress7739@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Retired QBs: Brady, Brees, Big Ben

HoF maybes: Eli, Rivers, Ryan

Active players: Ayahuasca man and that 28-year-old dude in KC.

Canton is usually lenient with QBs.

Be a season MVP or have rings, and it helps to have some SB MVPs too.

Brady had both (3/7/5)

Brees (0/1/1)

Big Ben (0/2/0)

Eli (0/2/2)

Ryan (1/0/0, should have been 1/1, goddamnit)

Rodgers (4/1/1)

Mahomes (2/2/2)

PR17 has been a statistical anomaly. Maybe in 10 years, he'll make it.

But they gotta induct first those who are eligible and worthy but haven't been inducted for some reason.

[–] Scratch331@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

I personally think Big Ben is a lock; 2004 Rookie of the year and the youngest QB to win the Superbowl, he virtually owns all of the Pittsburgh Steelers franchise passing records. He's 3rd all-time in 4th quarter comebacks and game winning drives, he's got 3 AFC championship trophies, and won 2 Superbowls. The Steelers never suffered a losing season with him under centre, and before the Mahomes craze, Big Bens brand of backyard football lit up highlight reels. Yes, he never had any MVP's or double digit pro bowl appearances, but when it came to winning games Big Ben was special, and I think the voters will see it that way.

[–] Twin_Pop4409@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

The NFL HOF will always suffer because its annual requirement for a minimum number of inductees opens the door to the good versus the great. There are years MLB has zero new members, and I'm just fine with that.

[–] SouthernOG@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Matt Ryan gets in eventually i think. MVP, SB appearance, 2 NFC championship games, all-pro, OROY plus 14 years in 1 place.

Rivers has none of that except longevity so I don’t think he does.

[–] Putrid_Rock5526@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Eli belongs in this discussion. One of only five players ever to win multiple Super Bowl MVPs. Also has the raw numbers and one of the longest starting streaks ever

[–] Sjdillon10@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Ryan and Rivers not winning a chip will keep them out even if i think both have a good case for sneaking in

[–] treeheemelee@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Brady, Brees, Rodgers, and Big Ben are all pretty much locks in my opinion. Quarterbacks with two Super Bowls pretty much always make it in. Eli Manning will probably get in as well.

Rivers is a maybe. And Ryan is a no.

[–] giantdonkeyballz@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Big ben is most likely id say highly likely i think rivers is questionable and matt ryan not likely imo

[–] downtimeredditor@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Matt Ryan is the Hall of fame line.

If you had a career better than Matt Ryan you are a Hall of famer

If you had a caree worse than Matt Ryan you are not a Hall of Famer

[–] downtimeredditor@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Matt Ryan is in the same group of guys like Boomers Eaison, Donovan McNabb, Rich Gannon, Randall Cunningham. Great QBs who were just on the Precipice of Hall of Fame but not quite there

Although I do think it's possible they may get in a senior committee hall of fame.

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