overview for JerryRiceDidntFumble

How big of an advantage is it for the Eagles to only have to get 9 yards instead of 10 in c/nfl@nfl.community

[–] JerryRiceDidntFumble@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago (6 children)

They currently convert 76.5% of their 4th downs, compared to a league median of 50%. Regressing them to the median would result in 4.5 more failed attempts. They average 2.54 points per drive, so 4.5*2.54 = 11.43 points on the season, or roughly 1 point per game. According to Vegas, a 1 point shift in point spread averages out to a 1.3% increase in win probability.

So about 1.3% of an advantage.

Bears are 3-0 in their last 3 games played during the week. They are 1-18 in games played on Sundays in that timespan in c/nfl@nfl.community

[–] JerryRiceDidntFumble@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

To counter this: in their last 8 MNF games the Vikings are 3-0 against the Bears and 1-4 against all other teams

As of today, The Atlanta Falcons have not beaten the New Orleans Saints in 2 years and 8 days (748 days total) in c/nfl@nfl.community

[–] JerryRiceDidntFumble@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago (4 children)

Bears haven't beaten the Vikings since December 2020 (1070 days)

Rookie Jaren Hall is over a year older than college teammate Zach Wilson in c/nfl@nfl.community

[–] JerryRiceDidntFumble@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Jaren Hall is only 3.5 years younger than his teammate Danielle Hunter, who is playing his 9th NFL season