Tuuktuuk

joined 3 weeks ago
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[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 2 points 3 days ago

"Stops selling fuel" is one thing, but "sells 95 % less fuel than before" is another. Wonder what the number of stations in that bracket are? One in ten?

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 1 points 3 days ago

Heroiam slava!

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 1 points 3 days ago (1 children)

Now there are. They probably got some from the Russia for whatever use. Some kind of reconnaissance, I'd guess.

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 2 points 3 days ago

Heroiam slava!

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 1 points 3 days ago (1 children)

Not possible as long as the nuclear chain reaction is still happening.

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 1 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

They wouldn't get punished. They have contracts with western companies and would need to pay heavy compensations for any disruptions. And those western companies would direct much of the compensations to the Russia. The result would be that the Russia would get its money for the oil without having to actually transport any oil. Paying the compensation you are contractually obliged to is not the same thing as getting a punishment. Ukraine would not get a punishment, but it would need to fulfil its contract.

However, on the Russian part of the oil pipe network, the contract is between the Russia and those western companies. It's the Russia's job to ensure the stable flow of oil. If waging a war causes the flow to stop, then, from the perspective of those contracts, the Russia is to blame. Ukraine is in no contractual relationship to any entity in the west regarding pipe segments located in the Russia. So, better let the oil flow through Ukraine once it reaches Ukraine's border, but make sure that it never does reach Ukraine in the first place :)

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 1 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

Depends on what was destroyed and what technology it is based on.

Typically, the Russia has been destroying transformers in the Ukrainian power stations. This is how it looks when a transformer is being transported by a train (just look at how many wheels the special wagon needs and how small a regular passenger wagon looks in comparison!)

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So, if a transformer was destroyed, something of that size will have to be brought in to replace it. Somebody will also have to produce one first before it can be brought in. I'd say several weeks to a few years. Depending on whether they have any spare transformers laying around and whether you need to order the transformer from abroad, such as from a western country.

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 1 points 3 days ago

The polling stations are always organized by the country that is holding the elections. When I voted in Finnish elections while living in Berlin, I had to go to the embassy of Finland for that, and it was the Finnish state that organized the voting there, not anything German.

Of course, at the same time: Why the heck would Moldova organize polling places in the Russia? Typically the voting from abroad happens in embassies and consulates, not elsewhere. If the Russia wanted to support Moldova having more consulates across the Russia, they could definitely have motivated Moldova to open them by being extra friendly to Moldova and Moldovans.

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 1 points 3 days ago

Shortages of gasoline are not limited to Crimea. The shortages are at their worst in Crimea, but there are kilometre-long queues in several parts of the Russia. Most parts, even!

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 1 points 3 days ago

Pretty much.

I'd like to know where in Ukraine that guy is from, though.
Had they lived between 2014 and 2022 in Crimea or someplace such as Poltava or L'viv? That makes for a huge difference. Someone who was 13-year-old in 2014 was 21-year-old in 2022. They would have the Ukrainian passport, but it would still feel misleading saying that "a Ukrainian was caught" in such a case.

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 2 points 3 days ago

I believe the only reason the Russia is continuing its war now is what comes after.

It has about 700 000 living soldiers that have been specifically trained to blindly use violence against everything that moves or doesn't move, and to be completely okay with all forms of sexual violence, regardless of age or anything. They have been trained to rob and pillage. Now, once the war ends, those 700 000 will return home.

In the end of 1980's, USSR retreated from Afghanistan, and about 90 000 soldiers returned home. They had a similar training, and the results for the society were horrendous. Yet, the current training has been even more inhumane. And now the Russia has about half the population of USSR of 1989. Which means that the effect of one returning soldier is about doubled.

Those 90 000 veterans of the war in Afghanistan were one of the biggest reason for USSR collapsing, and they were the main reason for 1990's being such a traumatizing hellscape for the Russia. Now, 700 000 will return. And because of the population difference, their effect is the same as if 1 400 000 veterans had returned to USSR instead of the 90 000 that did.

And: At the same time, the Russian economy will be absolutely gutted. There will be a huge amount of unemployment. All the same pieces that caused Russians to get very strongly collectively traumatized by their 1990's will be present again, but now about a magnitude worse. The difference between 1 400 000 and 90 000 is 15-fold. If you take the 1990's mafia violence in the Russia and multiply that by whopping 15, you get the 2030's of the Russia as a result.

As much as the Russia is suffering from this war, it's nothing compared to what will happen once their soldiers return home. Every day that keeps the soldiers away from home is a day more without hell having broken loose for them.

I believe their only goal is to prolong the war as long as possible.

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 1 points 3 days ago

There is huge difference in accuracy between a Russian and a western artillery cannon.

At least in 2022 it was commonly estimated that in order to hit a specific target, you need to shoot about ten times as many artillery rounds with a Russian cannon as you would with a western cannon.

Of course, if you don't have a specific target, the accuracy doesn't really matter. The Russian artillery rounds are very useful for carpet bombing a city, but not for any actual military use. And when you're comparing the efficiency of armed forces, actually only the military uses are relevant. For that use, you can use a multiplier of 10. 25 000 western shells have about the same battlefield impact as 250 000 Russian shells.

Then remember that each time you fire a shell, it causes wear and tear in the cannon. That means, the Russian cannons get ten times as much wear and tear as western cannons. Atop them being of a much lower quality. The Russia uses a lot of shells for obliterating Ukrainian cities. Ukraine does not do anything similar. That skews the numbers even more yet.

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