There isn't guesswork involved. They know for certain that people will. They have network effect on their side. Their entire audience is captive. Anyone willing to leave already has after the hundreds of different "revelations" of how fucking disgusting everything they have ever touched is.
They aren't selling anything but your privacy. It's Apple's limitations on being overt malware that they'd be bypassing, and it is absolutely guaranteed that they would do so the literal minute they can.
Yes, it would.
They don't leave the play store because, and exclusively because, Google allows them to do anything they want. Apple does not. The literally exact day a similar law goes into effect in the US, it's an absolute guarantee Facebook leaves the App Store with every single app they have. There's not even the slight possibility they stay there.
Black flag, more ships/weapon paths, maybe some fleet commands for bigger battles, expand the shipping jobs thing to feel like you're really commanding a fleet.
Or none of that and just call it a pirate game.
If it was actually like Black Flag I'd be all over it.
But it's live service shit.
The other dumb part is that when their manufacturing capability does significantly improve, AMD will happily sell similar chips to other people. And Valve won't care in the slightest. Because all they want is people on PC so they buy games, many of which are through steam.
Linux being relevant is a bigger benefit to them than any revenue from the deck, and they've already demonstrated that it's capable of pretty much any game that doesn't actively exclude it.
Facebook/ten cent/etc have literally zero reason to stay off the play store. Google encourages them to be malware, and doesnt curtail their bad behavior is any way.
Apple doesn't. They might not leave while they think they can also destroy the security of iOS in the US, but it is a complete and utter certainty that the literal day any similar law takes effect in the US that Facebook and all their apps leave the App Store completely. They absolutely can trivially walk people through the steps from their website and the apps that are already installed, and they already have the monopoly to force their users to deal with it.
Apple isn't Reddit, building a market by claiming to be open then locking it down. They built their market because the walled garden is a massively better product.
I literally buy iPhone mostly because of the walled garden. It's by far the biggest value add they have, and they grew to the scale they are in large part because of the value that adds.
If you want to sell an app on iPhone, you have to follow their human interface guidelines. You have to respect users' privacy (not enough, but as much as they can enforce). You used to be required to take payment through Apple's payment methods that make it incredibly easy to track and cancel subscriptions. Courts taking the payment rules away makes my experience worse. A shitty law forcing Apple to allow apps to pull out of the App Store and do whatever they want would make my experience much worse. (Thank God I'm not in the EU or subject to that.) If I was in the EU, the government be stealing a large portion of the value of the phone I paid for from me, to be replaced by stuff I can already do if I really want to.
These laws aren't giving power to the people. They're taking away Apple's power to protect people and giving the power to fucking China through epic.
And then, after installing a malware OS, you have to let destiny install it's own malware.
The problem is that "don't let people game you" is extremely difficult.
It's many, many orders of magnitude easier to provide a useful search of sites that tell you the truth about what they are than it is when 99% of sites lie to you.
I've had decent experience with nobara with a 2080. I had a couple hiccups early, and had to reinstall basically right away, but after that it's been solid.
But still declared them liable for the actions of their users.
Bad ruling, just less bad than it could be.
Emulation has also been litigated to hell and is also very clearly legal.