I guess, umm, probably sure in my opinion... maybe?
For real though, I appreciate that you're trying to disclaim that it is much more of an educated guess than an objective truth, instead of just trying to paint it as if it were that truth...
...
...but you still sound like you're just a professional opinion haver. It's nice that you're trying to contribute, but you end up producing information noise due to the fact that your takes don't seem to be based on any meritorical backgrounds.
Good. The money for us gotta go from somewhere, ain't it?