this post was submitted on 17 Nov 2025
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MeanwhileOnGrad
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I'm honestly surprised China hasn't "invaded" Ukraine. Not to fight, or take territory. Just to sit on the border and defend. While at the same time sending a very public message to putin. Back off, or fight us, and start a war with China.
Now after having their military shredded down over the last 3 years, russia doesn't have the resources to fight China. But putin's ego won't let him back down. So now russia engages Ukraine, and in doing so, starts a war with China.
China then steamrolls russia and just takes all their land. You'd have a fresh modern military that hasn't had it's military fighting for years, vs a worn down depleted hanging on by a thread military that's also full of corruption and rot from the inside. A military that had to cancel a parade last year because they didn't physically have the tanks.
It would essentially be free real estate for China to take. The united states wouldn't try to get involved directly in their war. Because it's still two nuclear armed militaries. Russia wouldn't nuke China, because 1) their own nukes probably don't work, but that info only becomes available if you attempt to use them, and 2) it would prompt a swift nuclear reaction from China.
And China isn't going to nuke russia because 1) They can't innitiate the nuking and still be supported by outside nations as "the good guy" (and China would be trying to push that narrative HARD), 2) China in general is very anti-nuke. It's not in their nature to use that unless it's a last resort, and 3) They don't have to. Take nukes off the table, and I think China today EASILY steamrolls through Russia in about a month.
So I don't get why China doesn't put defensive armys inside Ukraines borders. Then wait to get attacked as a premeditation for going to war with Russia. Then taking huge chunks of land.
China is supplying Russia with material aid during this conflict - they get to profit from the war while russia collapses economically plus continue their economic and political war with Europe practically unopposed (the US dropped out and Russia isn't really in good shape to be compeition anymore) and all without having to address the issue of the millions of refugees nor the logistics of maintaining an occupying force in the largest least hospitable country in the world.
Something something land war in Asia.
The CCP is a lot of things, but they ain't dumb.
Over expansion, language issues and russians would be a hard population to control like they do China? Those are my guesses.