I’m not sure about the troop readiness these days, but afaik, USA is currently very close to its military capacity.
For everything it’s doing by having a quarter of 1 million troop stationed around the world and having between 3 and 5 Aircraft carrier groups floating around the world if they fully commit to an armed conflict with Venezuela they are basically spent.
That’s the moment any army can decide to do whatever the fuck they want and the USA can really basically only bark and look on. (Technically they could of course fight, but that would mean they sacrifice actual defence of homeland). So that would mean that China could take Taiwan, Russia could really take Ukraine or even poke further into Europe. Not to mention the Middle East would basically be without a guard dog.
If this happens this most likely would be the final nail in the coffin of the US Empire and almost analogous with how the Roman empire crumbled. (And of course the ultimate payoff for Vladdy to have helped Donnie get in the White House).
I don’t think there’s a whole lot of risk that the USA will try to take Canada or Greenland because of this.
There are people who are saying that we are at the same point as we were in Germany In the 1930s. I would argue this is much closer to Hitler having just taken all of Europe and now deciding to also go and take on The Russians.
Also don’t forget that Trump is truly one of the dumbest strategists we’ve ever had. The only success he’s having is because he has a very well oiled machine but even a well oiled machine has absolute nonnegotiable thresholds which Donald and Drunk Pete will probably try to ignore by renaming a department from defence to war and by hoping that will work.
Curious what others think about this situation?
E: spelling
Maybe there's an understanding by the rising regional powers and America which is far from the global hegemon it was even 30 years ago and they're all gonna focus on their local sphere of influence? And yes, that would mean NATO would cede Taiwan and it would be reunited with the mainland and something like a halfway takeover of Ukraine, with zones acting like a barrier between NATO and Russia. That would mean the EU can either normalize relationships with Russia like before the Ukraine coup and the start of the war, or they could double down and put boots and more on the ground. Of course I would love the former but knowing "my people", it'll probably be the latter.
I think America will try one or two excursions outside of the Atlantic and South America (there's already an undergoing one in Iran, although they're going the agitation and coup way right now and another one in Somalia and Somaliland through their colony/FOB, Israel) just to try things out and give the MIC their money, but I expect it to recede slowly (before inner strife and balkanization in the mid 60s? God willing, the world has had enough of the Burgers, from the moment they stepped into the native's land they've done nothing but mischief).