this post was submitted on 12 Jan 2026
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The sanctions regimes have historically rotated between "problem" nations. Biden relaxed sanctions on Venezuela and Iran early in his first term, while ratcheting sanctions on Russia and China. Trump's reversed course, with the caveat that capturing Maduro presents the possibility of lifted sanctions in Venezuela.
If the government of Iran is overthrown, you can expect a grace period during which foreign investors are allowed to enter Iran and buy up property at fire sale prices. But any effort at regulating those private entities by the state will bring back the sanctions and renewed targeting of Iranian leadership.