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As a European I am baffled the civil war has not even started yet.
It's crazy right? Especially since americans were so vocal about all of the amendments and chekcs and balances for decades which turned out to mean absolutely nothing.
Nobody wants to start it because the consequences would be huge and right now sitting around doing nothing is still possible.
Indeed!
But doing nothing did and does validate what he is doing.
If they decide to follow this memo and actual law enforcement do not care, sitting around doing nothing will not remain an option.
It just need someone snapping and starts shooting ICE. Then all hell will break loose. IIRC there's some political scientists doing a simulation on how a civil war might start in modern America and it's eerily similar to what's been going on right now. There's only two steps left, someone shooting ICE and then the federal government starts sending troops to take over State and clashing between federal military and the national guard.
How would you even simulate something that relies almost entirely on non-deterministic human behaviours?
They played some kind of RPG.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/jan/21/ice-minnesota-trump
At least from an outside perspective it seems like the consequence are inevitable. Sitting around only delays everything and increases the overall suffering.
Yeah, I should mention that my perspective is very much an outside one. I've never been to the American continent. But I think a lot of us are tired of nothing happening even if it's better than the alternative in the short term.
Civil war = no midterm elections = Trump win.
I know, he's also hoping for it. There is no good solution. He will just go on.