this post was submitted on 12 Apr 2026
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Also, just getting closer to election day would naturally make the odds converge towards 100%-0%. Since there is less and less time for a lead to disappear.
Yeah, don't think that effect/logic was working here significantly.
Orban's party really just had at least one major scandal for every day through the last two weaks. Think like several different Watergates on steroids daily. Sometimes two or three a day.
Seriuosly, we were having calendars made about them to keep track of them and everything. It was a fun game to try to predict where the next days scandal(s) are going to come from. It was like the mother of all bad campaign finishes. I was having a blast, it was beautiful.