this post was submitted on 11 Apr 2024

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chapotraphouse

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[Not the Onion] I have a new FiveThirtyEight piece out, "The less you vote, the more you back Trump." (hexbear.net)

submitted 1 year ago by InevitableSwing@hexbear.net to c/chapotraphouse@hexbear.net

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The less you vote, the more you back Trump - ABC News

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[–] PKMKII@hexbear.net 11 points 1 year ago

The fundamental problem here (besides assuming people are being honest about how many times they’ve voted in recent elections) is that the nature of the most recent elections skews the results. 2018 (Trump midterm), 2020 (get the dang Cheeto out plus COVID backlash) and 2022 (Dobbs backlash) were all big democrat turnout years whereas the MAGA crowd were only super activated by 2020 with Trump on the ballot, 2022 to a lesser extent with Let’s Go Brandon but not bringing out the Trump-only voters.