Reproduceability is a key element of the process in the bullshit filter. That guy claiming to have found a room temp superconductor comes to mind
this post was submitted on 17 Dec 2024
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Showerthoughts
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A "Showerthought" is a simple term used to describe the thoughts that pop into your head while you're doing everyday things like taking a shower, driving, or just daydreaming. The most popular seem to be lighthearted clever little truths, hidden in daily life.
Here are some examples to inspire your own showerthoughts:
- Both “200” and “160” are 2 minutes in microwave math
- When you’re a kid, you don’t realize you’re also watching your mom and dad grow up.
- More dreams have been destroyed by alarm clocks than anything else
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"No fair! You changed the outcome by measuring it!"
That and logical consistency. And a bit of expert consensus. I guess that covers it.
Take away any of the 3 and you get something quite different.
"and what's your evidence?"
"Well just look at it."
Observation is fantastic for removing bullshit from the conversation.
He's arguing that salt is sweet? Well just taste it then.
It could be explored. How does science NOT stick to the observation? Could we further optimize it?
It could be borrowed. Are some conversations just too bullshit? Maybe we could borrow science's trick.
I’d say it’s equally important to figure out what to observe—to arrange experiments that reveal information you don’t yet know, instead of just confirming what you do.
From what would you draw that "what to look at"?
From predictions that would differentiate between competing models.
Models drawn from observation, assumedly. Hopefully.
(I think that humans are naturally authoritarian. I think that science is still unnatural to us, as a species.)
What about situations that are different under observation than not? It doesn’t actually cover every single case. No single rule ever COULD.
I think we just ignore those situations.