this post was submitted on 25 May 2025
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[–] drolex@sopuli.xyz 37 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (3 children)

No. Homicides have still raised by 15% in 2024. This is a graph of rate increase in homicides, not of homicides. It's the second derivative (see speed vs acceleration)

[–] ArbitraryValue@sh.itjust.works 24 points 2 months ago (3 children)

That's not correct. There were 15% more homicides in 2024 than in 2015 but the homicide rate went down since the peak of the 2020 crime wave.

[–] iii@mander.xyz 6 points 2 months ago

Seems like the same 2020 high happened in Sweden, UK, Netherlands, ... (1). Perhaps covid (and lockdown) related?

[–] hikeandbike@midwest.social 6 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (2 children)

Murder rate

a quantity, amount, or degree of something measured per unit of something else

- Merriam-Webster (emphasis mine)

Both police killings and murders are increasing, but police murders are increasing faster year over year than homicides are increasing.

Regardless of the administration, the US is increasingly a police state controlled by an oligarchy.

[–] sunzu2@thebrainbin.org 1 points 2 months ago

the US is increasingly a police state controlled by an oligarchy.

alwayshasbeen.jpeg

but the gloves are coming off though for sure

[–] jonathan@lemmy.zip 5 points 2 months ago

Its not year on year, all datapoints are the rate against 2015's rate.

[–] octopus_ink@slrpnk.net 3 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

OK. Are both lines calculated with that same metric? If so it's still apples to apples.

~~The legend states what you have pointed out.~~ (no it doesn't I misremembered, my bad) BUT STILL, maybe an editor thought the headline was too long?

[–] iii@mander.xyz 4 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (2 children)

If so it's still apples to apples.

At the same time, derivatives are known to be noise amplifiers. Second derivative even more so.

I fear the author wanted to talk about apples, the measurements didn't agree, so kept taking derivatives until the graph agreed with their bias. Why else talk about change in change of apples?

As always, misinformation has been spread, tweet succesfull ✅️

[–] octopus_ink@slrpnk.net 4 points 2 months ago

You might be correct but you are clearly in an area of expertise that is beyond mine, so I'm going to let the other folks arguing about it argue about it. 🙂

[–] independantiste@sh.itjust.works 17 points 2 months ago (1 children)

that chart is ass, and the way the data is presented is even worse. tf is that y axis??

[–] huppakee@lemm.ee 0 points 2 months ago

Exactly this, you deserve more upvotes than anyone arguing lol

[–] sunzu2@thebrainbin.org 10 points 2 months ago (1 children)

If chart needs this much discussion to figure out what it is says, then it is a useless chart.

Why would somebody publish something like this? We will never know!

[–] huppakee@lemm.ee 3 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Some people refuse to read, it literally explains it.

[–] sunzu2@thebrainbin.org 1 points 2 months ago
[–] Albbi@lemmy.ca 8 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Obviously the police are killing all the murderers. /s

[–] octopus_ink@slrpnk.net 4 points 2 months ago

"Intensive policing"

[–] ArbitraryValue@sh.itjust.works 6 points 2 months ago (2 children)

I don't think the graph is showing the phenomenon that OP thinks it's showing - there was a crime wave that started in 2020 which isn't over yet, but things have gotten significantly better since 2022 and that's the same internal when police killings went up, so the straightforward conclusion is that there has been more intensive policing in the last three years which is what has reversed the dramatic increase in the homicide rate.

[–] octopus_ink@slrpnk.net 5 points 2 months ago

I'm not sure I agree with your original assertion nor your conclusion, but it's a fair argument! Intensive policing as the defense for this graph seems like a bit of a euphemism to me.

[–] LodeMike@lemmy.today 5 points 2 months ago

"Since" is the wrong word in the subtitle there. Should be "compared to"

[–] django@discuss.tchncs.de 5 points 2 months ago (1 children)

The last police necromancer, capable of raising the dead, died in 2020. They raised 5 people from the dead in 2016.

[–] iii@mander.xyz 2 points 2 months ago

Covid knew to aim for the necromancer, what a gamer. Ggwp