this post was submitted on 03 Nov 2023
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[–] fmstrat@lemmy.nowsci.com 133 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (9 children)

Posting this at top level since its burried in replies:

Fact time. You don't always die when shot, and the US is a baby factory. I can't find good stats on non-lethal gunshot, so I'll do the rest.

Verdict: Pretty accurate.

  • 8.4% without health insurance (33 in 400)
  • 11.5% poverty rate (46 in 400)
  • 20% adults at or below literacy level 1 (80 in 400)
  • 57% mental illness untreated (228 in 400) (requires math from NIH source)

References:

[–] rallatsc@slrpnk.net 33 points 2 years ago (4 children)

Btw your 20% figure includes those at Level 1 literacy, only 8% are below level 1 (from your source)

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[–] pine@lemmy.blahaj.zone 17 points 2 years ago

I wanted to test myself to get a sense of what "level one literacy" actually meant but you have to pay to take the test and the OECD already gets enough of my money as is.

[–] driving_crooner@lemmy.eco.br 13 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Here's a good study on gunshoot statistics thay include nonletal gunshot wounds:

https://www.theactuarymagazine.org/firearm-risk/

[–] Eiim@lemmy.blahaj.zone 18 points 2 years ago (3 children)

Which comes out to about 1/7 of a person in that room being shot per year.

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[–] cupcakezealot@lemmy.blahaj.zone 81 points 2 years ago (1 children)

my favourite is how tennessee effectively made insurance more expensive for everyone because one trans child wanted to play sports with her friends in school

[–] sergih@feddit.de 13 points 2 years ago (1 children)
[–] cupcakezealot@lemmy.blahaj.zone 42 points 2 years ago (1 children)

they basically put up a bill that banned tenncare from contracting with organizations that offer gender affirming care in any state, which is... a lot of organizations which limits the options which makes everything more expensive. at the time it was all based on a lawsuit from one 8 year old trans girl who wanted to play sports with her friends.

[–] GeneralVincent@lemmy.world 26 points 2 years ago

Nothing more Republican than having the government artificially restrict free market capitalism... wait that not what every Republican I've ever known has said they support. Weird.

[–] robocall@lemmy.world 75 points 2 years ago (2 children)

Those trans people better not play sports! /s

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[–] Strayce@lemmy.sdf.org 53 points 2 years ago (2 children)

Because all the other shit is those two people's fault somehow, obvs.

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[–] 1rre@discuss.tchncs.de 40 points 2 years ago (13 children)

If at least 1 person in the room of 400 is shot per day they'd be dead in just over a year...

Last I checked the population of the US wasn't plummeting, so what else is wrong here?

[–] VikingHippie@lemmy.wtf 73 points 2 years ago (3 children)
[–] 1rre@discuss.tchncs.de 39 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Oh no I see the point, but I'm hardly going to believe a point that's surrounded by obvious mistakes or embellishments

[–] VikingHippie@lemmy.wtf 27 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (12 children)

In this case, being more accurate would have distracted from the overall point.

Granted, attracting the dismissive comments of insufferable pedants and the wilfully obtuse isn't ideal either, but here we are 🤷

[–] OmegaMouse@feddit.uk 26 points 2 years ago (2 children)

How would being more accurate distract from the point? I agree with what the post is saying, but making up statistics doesn't really help IMO and takes away from the credibility

[–] AdmiralShat@programming.dev 19 points 2 years ago (12 children)

Hyperbole and hypotheticals aren't "making up statistics"

[–] OmegaMouse@feddit.uk 17 points 2 years ago (4 children)

It doesn't seem like this post was meant to be hyperbolic though? Hyperbole doesn't work well in the context of numbers. If someone said 1 in 100 people drive a Toyota, how would I differentiate that from being an actual figure or hyperbole? It's not obvious unless you look into it. Likewise, if someone told me that 1 in 400 people in the US get shot every day I'd struggle to tell if that's true or not, given how much I hear about gun crime over there.

This post is quite clearly framed in a way that sounds like fact.

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[–] VikingHippie@lemmy.wtf 12 points 2 years ago (6 children)

Expressing the number of people shot as a tiny fraction of 400 million people would raise at least as many questions about accuracy and make it EASIER for people like you to distract from the point by obsessing over an unimportant (to the point being made) detail.

Analogies and third decimal-accurate statistics just don't fit together.

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[–] li10@feddit.uk 19 points 2 years ago (5 children)

If anything the people pointing out how others are missing the point, are actually missing the point…

There’s a middle ground between ‘autistically measuring in decimals’ and blowing something completely out of proportion to make a forced point.

People are just getting defensive because it’s an underlying point they agree with (rightly so) and going on attack for anyone calling it out for being disingenuous.

[–] FlyingSquid@lemmy.world 14 points 2 years ago (4 children)

Why are you using 'autistic' as an insulting word?

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[–] Denvil@lemmy.one 37 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

Shot does not mean killed. Of the 327 average daily people shot, 210 survive. I will however admit that 1 in 400 people being shot a day does not represent the same ratio as the 327 out of the 330,000,000 a day at all.

Also birthrate

[–] Ensign_Crab@lemmy.world 31 points 2 years ago (2 children)

Pedantry is a great distraction when you don't want to address problems.

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[–] Staple_Diet@aussie.zone 24 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (7 children)

Not to detract from the overall message, buuuut....

48,313 gun deaths in US in 2021.

333,000,000 people in US

On those rates 0.05 people in a room of 400 would be shot per year, so 1 person per 20 years.

It'd 1 person every 2 years in a room of 4,000.

Also those mental health numbers are off given the lifetime prevalence of most disorders being around 5%.

2/400 (0.5%) of the population identifying as trans would be 1,665,000 people - which may be plausible but idk, I generally work on the figure of ~4% of any population being LBGTQI.

Poverty numbers are probably bang on.

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[–] fmstrat@lemmy.nowsci.com 14 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

Fact time. You don't always die when shot, and the US is a baby factory. I can't find good stats on non-lethal gunshot, so I'll do the rest.

Verdict: Pretty accurate.

  • 8.4% without health insurance (33 in 400)
  • 11.5% poverty rate (46 in 400)
  • 20% adults below literacy level 1 (80 in 400)
  • 57% mental illness untreated (228 in 400) (requires math from NIH source)

References:

[–] AdmiralShat@programming.dev 12 points 2 years ago

I guess hyperbole isn't your thing

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[–] DrPop@lemmy.one 39 points 2 years ago (2 children)

Now the post says shot and not killed. I think that distinction is important. But I imagine those statistics are insane.

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[–] MrSqueezles@lemm.ee 34 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Jesus saves and I'm a soldier for Jesus, but only in the ways that don't cost me money or require me to make any lifestyle changes or acknowledge that I may not be perfect. Now, who's doing something that I can tangentially relate to the Bible that I'm not doing and don't plan to ever do?

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[–] Agent641@lemmy.world 22 points 2 years ago (1 children)

2 are trans so you decide that ruining their lives is a priority

I get to marry them both?

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[–] FlashMobOfOne@lemmy.world 20 points 2 years ago (2 children)

This analogy is flawed.

It's the people who put the people in the room who set the priorities, not the ones inside the room.

[–] shasta@lemm.ee 12 points 2 years ago (1 children)

You also need to assemble this group from a random selection of people from all across the country. The context of the analogy attempts to get the reader to visualize a room of 400 people which is easiest to do by drawing on personal experience such as a school assembly. But the stats listed will not apply to a group of 400 people from the same school zone, the same age. But visualizing a group of people you have an empathetic connection to is effective because it makes you wonder "what if a large amount of my friends of these disadvantaged people?" So it makes the message more effective, but it is utilizing emotional manipulation to do so.

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[–] jojowakaki@lemmy.world 14 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Wait is this stat for real or a hyperbole? Assuming this represents the demogrpahcis of US. With a population of 333 million, there are 1.6 million trans people and 830 000 prople are shot everyday?

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[–] DavidDoesLemmy@aussie.zone 14 points 2 years ago

Where is this happening? That's a very high shooting rate!

[–] Aarrodri@lemmy.world 14 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Go out and vote. Can't complain about that which you permit. Also Vote with your money and vote with your time. Those are the real impactful ones.

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[–] uriel238@lemmy.blahaj.zone 13 points 2 years ago (1 children)

It's a breakdown of the United States general population, I think.

[–] cjsolx@lemmy.world 12 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (3 children)

So, in a little over a year everyone in the USA will be shot? 875K people are shot daily?

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[–] FartsWithAnAccent@lemmy.world 13 points 2 years ago (1 children)
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