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Hindsight is always 20/20 but I still think it could have worked. Greens and liberals aren't natural enemies, climate reforms can be done via methods from the free market. A proper carbon certificate trade is still something I think could work wonders if done right and redistributing the acquired money to all citizens would have been in line with the social considerations of the SPD. This should have been the project of the traffic light coalition. Now we all now the liberals are a bunch of lying, opportunistic fucks, okay, but it could have worked if only they had tried.
You don't need any hindsight to know what the FDP is going to do when you invite them into government. They will do what they have always done: Maximally corrupt clientele policy for the 1%. That's what they did the last time they had the chance. And the time before. Whenever they do that, they'll of course lose popularity, but that won't hurt them, because the "donations" from their rich clients will keep flowing. They will simply lay low for a few election periods until the public has forgotten what they did and run a flashy campaign specifically targeting dumb first time voters to get back.