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In reality though, they'd be run over immediately by China which I'm sure isn't going to be in their best interest
Yes, that's a risk, I'm just saying the eastern part of Russia is not exactly winning by being under Moscow. They have a major part of Russian's heavy industry, oil, ores, lumber, and several million cities packed with universities, so they have an initial set of everything to "live independently". But whoever is nearby will always look at those resources - material or human.