this post was submitted on 12 Jan 2026
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Sanctions tighten the economy. Economic tightening leads to misery. Misery leads to social upheaval. Upheaval leads to violence. Violence becomes a justification for more sanctions.
But hey, Iranian-style Islam is ontologically evil. Just gotta keep squeezing until we can depose the Guardian Council and replace it with... checks notes... a military dictatorship backed by the Saudi Wahhabists?
Or al-Qaeda that liberated Syria and is supported by EU now?
Also if they sanction the whole world… they kinda sanction themselves. EU and Angry Orange Pedo.
The sanctions regimes have historically rotated between "problem" nations. Biden relaxed sanctions on Venezuela and Iran early in his first term, while ratcheting sanctions on Russia and China. Trump's reversed course, with the caveat that capturing Maduro presents the possibility of lifted sanctions in Venezuela.
If the government of Iran is overthrown, you can expect a grace period during which foreign investors are allowed to enter Iran and buy up property at fire sale prices. But any effort at regulating those private entities by the state will bring back the sanctions and renewed targeting of Iranian leadership.