this post was submitted on 07 Mar 2026
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China or Russia involvement ends WW3. What is more likely is US runs out of weapons and declares victory. China/BRICs gain influence over GCC, and rest of world, as US is seen as impotent. Like Venezuela, the natural partners for Iran are Asia, because they can trade oil for reconstruction. Even if US pays for oil industry investment, there will still be trade incentives for Asia, and weapons/nationalization threats against US rebuilt ownership.
Far more destruction of GCC oil infrastructure is within Iran capability. Israel's targetting of oil refineries/storage should be condemned as a relationship breaking point by GCC, but they are too afraid. Still, US impotence to value GCC allies over Israel demonism, means no more investments in US, or reliance on US for defense after this is over.
Iran is a peer missile power, and one of 4 drone super powers. (US distant 5th). Tel Aviv is under blackouts, https://www.facebook.com/SEAheritagehistory/posts/-a-ballistic-missile-reportedly-struck-israels-largest-power-station-orot-rabin-/984729600890998/ and other Israel power infrastructure has reported damage. No matter the censorship of Israel, there is extensive damage to the country. Last summer, it took 12 days to declare victory by bombing a mountain. Iranian production outpaced US since then. F35s are being delivered without electronics due to reliance on rare earths, that also impact the "exquisite class" offensive/defensive missile production, that only China refines, and has banned for US military complex.
While I am disgusted by China and Russia's lack of assertiveness in ending the war early, Iran can get to yet another ceasefire on its own, and get GCC to be more aligned with it, and less towards Zionaziism.