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Ukraine unfortunately is not winning and is in serious trouble.
You should say that louder for the people in Moscow without internet.
For a relatively small nation like Ukraine, still standing against the full might of Russian agression after four years, is winning it.
"Serious trouble" is holding the world's supposed second most powerful military to a gain of only 0.8% of Ukraine's territory after the initial invasion?
"Serious trouble" is a 27:1 casualty ratio in Ukraine's favor, with over 1.2 million dead or wounded on Russia's side?
If you believe that, I've got a bridge over the Volga to sell you.
Do you think Russia or Ukraine will give real number? Both side always gives fake numbers
Your other points are true. This, sadly, is not. The situation is at best 4:1, in bad sectors, 3:1. It also varies - wounded Russian soldiers tend to die of their wounds far more often than wounded Ukrainian soldiers.
However, if it was 2.7:1, it was too pessimistic.
Edit: link for people who keep downvoting without a clue. CSIS thinks the ratio is more pessimistic. They mention numbers like 2.1 : 1 and 2.5 : 1.
https://www.independent.co.uk/bulletin/news/ukraine-kills-27-russian-soldiers-for-every-loss-in-kupiansk-b2901725.html
It is nice to know that it has gone exceptionally well for Ukraine in Kupyansk. Meanwhile:
https://www.csis.org/analysis/russias-grinding-war-ukraine
That's the opinon of the Center for Strategic Studies.
Russia uses Iranian drones...
The price just skyrocketed and supply might go to zero if Iran uses all they can make
Russia uses Iranian design, but produce locally. Some reports that Russia is now providing Iran with Iranian type drones build in Russia.
How did you come to that assessment, if you don't mind my asking?
It isn’t losing either and it doesn’t look that good for Russia on the battlefield right now.
You are looking locally, not globally.
You're probably the type of person to think the south was winning the civil war, until they didn't.
Russia's long term strategy ends in failure. Every week that Ukraine still exists, they are one step closer to losing.
Russia's equipment is finite, Ukraine's is not.
I'm with you until the last sentence. How is that true?
Supply lines and logistics.
Ukraine's military equipment is a mix of NATO surplus gear (ample supplies of such gear in most NATO countries, or found on the global markets), homegrown drones/missiles (can be replaced), and various other equipment for sale in the western MIC.
Russia's primary equipment is gear that was made in Russia or in former Eastern Bloc countries like Ukraine. Russia's equipment being finite comes from two things; they are burning through their vast Soviet surplus at a rate that is not sustainable, and their domestic and their domestic production of equipment cannot backfill those losses of the more modern equipment.
A bunch of the lynchpin systems Russia relies on cannot even be manufactured anymore, so when radar systems are destroyed, the replacement of such equipment cannot be easily done.