Where do I donate to help the asteroid?
this post was submitted on 19 Feb 2025
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This has been a good test of our planetary defense procedures, and will be an even better test on the off chance the probability resolves to 100%. I'm rooting for an impact trajectory, since we'd either get to see humanity's first real asteroid deflection or witness the largest asteroid impact in over a century. (Hopefully in the ocean or a sparsely populated area!)
Unfortunately, I half expect that if we get a 100% chance, governments are going to see where it's going to land (sea/Africa) and decide it's not worth the spend/let's see what happens if we let it hit.
Really hope I'm wrong, but I don't have a lot of faith in humanity anymore.
Why would we mitigate the asteroid if its cheaper to clean up after a non-consequential impact?
To test our ability to stop it. If one was going to hit a major city, that's not the best situation to be trying something out for the first time.
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And hopefully it can be highly rich in rare minerals, so that when the ashes of WW3 finally settle down, at least the future generations of humans or not-human sapient entities will at least get something good out of the whole ridiculous mess we're currently in lol
Unfortunately, at the speed they travel, an asteroid will be vaporised in the impact. Whatever rare earths there are will be scatter as a fine powder over a large area.
I hope it's cataclysmic
It's only a city-killer, but last I saw there were a few cities in the estimated impact area. Fortunately we'll get a better idea of whether it's going to hit in 2028. Plenty of time to launch a redirection mission or evacuate the danger zone.
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3.1% odds are nothing to sneeze at. Ever played D&D?
XCom vets know what's about to happen
It'll climb to 95% and then phase through the earth to somehow miss entirely?
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roll for save vs. asteroid on a D30...
Balls.
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Don't threaten me with a good time
Bring it
A direct hit would be about the size of a fission nuclear bomb. Devastating for a city, but no regional or country-wide impacts, let alone globally
Not even a little global cooling?
As a treat?
If anything, it might get a tiny bit warmer
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Good.
Up those numbers.
We're awful.
Hit Washington DC please.
first hit moscow and take an insane bounce and hit washington DC please. that's all I'm asking.
Bruh the DC metro area is statistically one of the most anti Trump places in the US. Let's root for it to hit Maralago instead.
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is this the aliens going "welp they elected Trump again time to press the reset button"
This is the expected path the probability is going to take. Scott Manley made a great video on that.
Basically the area in which the asteroid is going to be includes the earth. When you shrink this area earth is going to take up more space, unless it left the cone. I.e. measurements increase the likelihood until they don't.
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As if fascists and climate change wheren't enough. Here, have an asteroid!
What if it lands an the fascists and dust in the atmosphere cancels climate change for a couple of decades. Could that work?
Would asking for it to both hit the Earth and for me to be right below the impact zone be asking too much?
Unless you are a terrible person, yes.
If it falls on a joint meeting of Trump and Putin who once again decided to have a meeting to discuss Ukraine without Ukraine that should be fantastic, and not at all asking too much. Hopeful musk is hanging out with bezos and Netanyahu and Xi are talking too. Really not asking enough if you think about it
How many people need to die before someone hits the Earth with a rock ?
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