That'd be about par for the course. When too much attention is focused on their abject evil in Gaza, one of their strategies is to suddenly go stir the shit in Iran or Lebanon or Syria and get attention focused there instead.
this post was submitted on 20 May 2025
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I think they also just feel extremely emboldened right now because nobody has bothered to really try to stop them from the atrocities they've been committing for quite a while now.
What's one more, right?
Such a strike would be a brazen break with President Donald Trump, US officials said. It could also risk tipping off a broader regional conflict in the Middle East — something the US has sought to avoid since the war in Gaza inflamed tensions beginning in 2023.
Um. That makes the somewhat-questionable assumption that the Trump administration has any problem with Iran being bombed.
Setting aside even all of the geopolitical stuff, Iran got caught by US counterintelligence trying to assassinate Trump twice in the past year, and the Biden administration already told them that very unpleasant things would have happened had they not caught them and had those efforts succeeded. Trump said that he instructed his administration to "obliterate" Iran if they succeeded in such an attempt. And that's on top of Iranian intelligence trying to dick up his presidential campaign. My guess is that Trump, who has pretty much surpassed all precedent in being a vindictive son-of-a-bitch over even tiny disputes (not to mention the SecDef he selected with limited qualifications other than the Crusader and now fresh "kafir" tattoos) is probably even less-inclined than the Biden administration to take a dovish position.
Trump has publicly threatened military action against Iran if his administration’s efforts to negotiate a new nuclear deal to limit or eliminate Tehran’s nuclear program fail. But Trump also set a limit on how long the US would engage in diplomatic efforts.
In a letter to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in mid-March, Trump set a 60-day deadline for those efforts to succeed, according to a source familiar with the communication. It has now been more than 60 days since that letter was delivered, and 38 days since the first round of talks began.
Yeah.
The US is stepping up intelligence collection to be prepared to assist if Israeli leaders decide to strike, one senior US official told CNN.
Yeah.
I heard reporting earlier (no links handy, sorry) that the US is requiring Iran to stop enriching uranium at all in order to proceed with any sort of negotiations. Not that we are requiring them to simply not enrich any further beyond the point where they can use nuclear energy, but that they cannot do any enrichment whatsoever, "not even one percent." That's gonna be a definite non-starter and set the stage for attacking Iran because "they didn't cooperate."
Trump doesnt like sending soldiers abroad. The "hurr durr Iran ultimate evil" is tiring itself out and when Trump lets the Saudis, UAE and Qatar powder his butt with gold dust, that isn't perceived well even in the MAGA camp.
Israel wants to drag the US into a war with Iran and watch as American Soldiers are dying, while they can lean back.
What will happen if the first 1.000 kids from the US come back in coffins while Netanyahu or his likeminded friends celebrate how Iran is being handled by the US now?
Trump cannot afford a war. It would join everyone in the US aside from the few war hawk ghouls among Reps and Dems against him.
If Israel strikes Iran, Iran will have to retaliate. Then the US either have to "defend" Israel and get dragged in, or they have to drop them.
Meanwhile the only sensible thing left for Iran to do will be to arm itself nuclearly, so will it be for every country around Israel. This will blow up the Middle East and topple the political influence of the West, as the nations there have to scramble for who will give them access to nuclear technology.
The only reasonable way to prevent all that is to put Israel on a leach, whip it into place if it oversteps and create a reliable non proliferation treaty.
That'll end well.
Watch out for their fifth generation fighters