this post was submitted on 05 Sep 2025
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Is AI's hype cycle leading us into a trough of disillusionment? Dive into the reality behind GPT-5's launch and its impact on the tech world.

A recent MIT report on AI in business found that 95 percent of all generative-AI deployments in business settings generated “zero return.”

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[–] thejml@sh.itjust.works 44 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Its only a trough if it goes back up on the other side.

[–] flango@lemmy.eco.br 37 points 1 month ago (1 children)

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman hinted as much with a January post on his personal blog. Altman wrote he was “now confident we know how to build AGI as we have traditionally understood it,” adding that 2025 would be the year AI agents “materially change the output of companies.”

These guys are such a joke, but they are the ones laughing $.

[–] Doomsider@lemmy.world 12 points 1 month ago

The same guy who said he only needed a "few" more trillion dollars to make it all work.

[–] etherphon@piefed.world 27 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I remember when companies hung on to old technology for dear life as long as they possibly could. I'm pretty sure they were still making money then. Everyone hopping on these bandwagons and throwing tons of money at it for FOMO are bonkers, this stuff has barely been tested yet as far as productivity, effect on workers, mental health issues, the list goes on.. but I guess that's all fine.

[–] reksas@sopuli.xyz 4 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago)

its so stupid how the companies seem just incapable of doing reasonable things. Either they hung on to old stuff even if it causes more problems or they jump on to some new hype thing. World would be better place if people with no long-term planning capability couldnt get any real influence over anything.

[–] Doomsider@lemmy.world 9 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Now they are talking about replacing teachers wholesale with AI. We are getting closer to the end game and complete control of the human mind.

[–] trashboat@midwest.social 2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

This makes me think we’re looking at the other side of the uncanny valley

[–] Doomsider@lemmy.world 7 points 1 month ago

This technology is equivalent to the atomic bomb for population manipulation. This is why the wealthy are so obsessed. They are getting closer to being able to control everyone by modeling our behavior.

The scariest part is no one is talking about the reality of this technology and what it will be used for. They have completely captured the narrative already.

[–] littleguy@lemmy.cif.su 2 points 3 weeks ago

To be fair, schools are already indoctrination mills.

[–] Kolanaki@pawb.social 7 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

I hope it's more of a cliff. A trough implies that it will go back the other way.

[–] chaosCruiser@futurology.today 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Can’t close the Pandora’s box. AI is already out there and it’s being used in a variety of places. Some of those things are good, bad, ugly, useless, stupid or even terrifying. Once AI reaches the plateau of productivity, all the useless and stupid applications are gone, but the other ones will stay.

[–] aesthelete@lemmy.world 3 points 1 month ago (1 children)

That all depends upon if they keep throwing dollars into the furnace to run the models.

"Useful" stuff will have to do an evaluation once they're paying the true cost for these things as well, because most people are not running their own models...this shit is more centralized then even regular cloud computing.

[–] chaosCruiser@futurology.today 2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I wasn’t talking about delusional LLMs and creepy image generators.

AI as a whole encompasses so much more. Like, image resolution up scaling, cleaning a noisy audio signal, generating new frames to make choppy stop motion animation smoother, finding optimal paths for logistics chains, designing a smart way to pack a pallet full of random boxes just to name a few. All of that stuff is already happening and is here to stay.

Cramming silly LLMs into every application might take a hit though. They could still be a solution to something, but we just haven’t quite figured it out yet.

[–] aesthelete@lemmy.world 3 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

Yeah, but they have tied AI to LLMs. If the investors that inflated this bubble sour on LLMs, the investments for AI more broadly speaking will probably dry up with it.

[–] chaosCruiser@futurology.today 2 points 4 weeks ago

That’s true. The general sentiment of AI will influence investor behavior and the availability of money. If LLMs fail spectacularly, it could make it harder to find investors open to the idea of using AI for various other things too. The past 10 years has seen a massive rise in new AI companies, so they will be able keep on selling tried and tested AI even when investor money dries up.

[–] MCasq_qsaCJ_234@lemmy.zip 6 points 1 month ago (2 children)

“I think we are running out of low-hanging fruits to improve on,” says Xu. He added that the early agentic gains came from simple changes, “things like formatting errors, or not understanding tools [...] I think we’re going to slow down until we find the next big thing.”

Another AI winter? Another AI winter? (Possible in the medium or long term)

Although we'll also have to wait and see what John Carmack does, because he's also involved in this.

[–] jacksilver@lemmy.world 6 points 1 month ago

I think we may see an agentic AI winter, but there are so many other applications and systems that can benefit from deep learning still.

[–] josefo@leminal.space 3 points 4 weeks ago

I hope the winter lasts till I die. Godfuck I want a peaceful life.

[–] Treczoks@lemmy.world 3 points 4 weeks ago

I would not be concerned if it actually was a black hole of disillusionment...

[–] hansolo@lemmy.today 1 points 1 month ago

Yeah, no one knows how to use it at scale in the enterprise without consultants setting it up for you.