mwguy

joined 2 years ago
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[–] mwguy 4 points 3 months ago

You committed to paying?

[–] mwguy 2 points 4 months ago (1 children)

How does this differ from Ubuntu's Authd?

[–] mwguy 2 points 4 months ago

As a former employee of Cerner, and customer of Oracle; I am entirely unsuprised by this development.

[–] mwguy 2 points 4 months ago

Yes. Some Americans listen to Radiohead.

[–] mwguy 2 points 4 months ago (2 children)

Well not nobody. Turns out there are some Nazis. /s

[–] mwguy 2 points 5 months ago

Visa free travel to Tahiti as part of the EU would be cool.

[–] mwguy 2 points 5 months ago

When the Ottomans Ruled the area Gaza was primarily a resort town.

[–] mwguy 24 points 6 months ago (2 children)

Is the capability to block any website something the Democrats want to enable with for Trump to abuse?

[–] mwguy 1 points 6 months ago

On the plus side, apparently we're all women now. So we got that going for us. /s

[–] mwguy 3 points 6 months ago

Don't worry if they have nothing to hide they have nothing to fear /s

[–] mwguy 1 points 6 months ago
[–] mwguy 1 points 6 months ago (2 children)

Small tip, you can generally use the accessibility features to look at the transcript and skip ahead using that.

 

Title is hyperbole. Essentially the answer is maybe but most likely not. Has a discussion about potential poll error in the context of precision vs. accuracy. Notes that the model assumes accuracy but not precision.

 

AI Generated Summary (I've been expirimentign with it):

  • Kamala Harris had a tough day in the forecast despite gains in national polls.
  • She leads by 3.8 points nationally but has a 47.3% chance of winning the Electoral College.
  • The model adjusts for convention bounce, assuming her polls are inflated.
  • Harris’s numbers may improve if she maintains her current standing.
  • A concern is the lack of polls showing her ahead in Pennsylvania, a key state.
  • Recent polls show Pennsylvania as a tie or slightly favoring Trump.
  • Harris has a 17% chance of winning the popular vote but losing the Electoral College.
  • RFK’s dropout and endorsement of Trump may impact her in Rust Belt states.
  • Tim Walz has had a strong rollout as Harris’s VP, but there’s speculation about Josh Shapiro.
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