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I mean, the ATC pipeline has already had issues for some decades when it comes to adding new recruits, and then DOGE came in and decided to offer buyouts and fire random employees on top of that. It's only a matter of time before you get more accidents like the one in DC.
Also you will start seeing folks leave from burnout and overwork sooner or later. Because that's the corpo way, fucked over your workforce and need to desperately high more people? Nope just work the current ones to the bone until the whole situation inevitably spirals into an irreparable mess.
The rail companies are gonna be making bank on parcel and letter delivery when the planes get permanently grounded because nobody wants to operate a business with no ATC. Also wonder how long till we start seeing state level run ATC?
Nah, it's always the prelude to privatisation. Someone will start up an ATC company and just take over the whole thing.
Doesn't mean the ATC won't still collapse, knowing how this shit tends to go they'd probably gut the existing systems so badly that most companies would pull out of the industry at least in the US. Boeing's fuck ups have driven down air travel relatively recently, it's entirely possible airports would lose insurance and be shut down by the cities if things got bad enough one or two jets smashing into a suburb would be enough.
Remember these folks are evil, greedy, and stupid. Not saying they can't capture objectives but holding them? That's another question.
Oh of course, privatisation of infrastructure always ends up worse and more expensive. Look at the US railroads.
At least with rails the absolute worst that can happen is a chemical spill, with planes and jets it could be as bad as a chemical airburst not even factoring in debris fields and other secondary shit. Frankly speaking I don't think there is anyways to have a minimum viable ATC with a corporation at least not a publicly traded one since they'd probably sell it to some publicly traded company that'll be bunk in five years.
I mean, you can have worse than chemical spills with trains. You can have entire towns blowing up. But yeah, you'll probably get even worse with ATC.
I was thinking about that one derailing that dumped chlorine and more or less sterilized an entire valley back in the 80s(?). When I say chemical spill I meant worst case chemical spill.
And holy shit will it be worse.
No they won't. Remember, Regan set the present that he can fire them. And get new ones.
*fire them and then fail to find enough new ones for decades
It's that second part that's tricky.
They'll find a way to move it to the private sector before that.
I am not surprised to see they've already been trying. I am glad to see there is already organized opposition to the privatization of the FAA. https://nbaa.org/advocacy/legislative-and-regulatory-issues/faa-reauthorization-and-modernization/truth-atc-privatization/
It's cool bruh we'll just have xAI run the show using their Nazi bot who will prioritize flights based on how Jewish their passengers' last names sound