this post was submitted on 08 Jan 2026
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What events do you think are likely to happen this calendar year? What percent odds would you put on such events happening?

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[โ€“] tal@lemmy.today 27 points 5 days ago (1 children)
  • RAM prices will continue to rise for at least the first half of the year, just going on the fact that I've read plenty of statements to that extent and no disagreement.

  • The Democrats will win control of the House in the US in the midterm elections. That'll set off a number of investigations which will have Trump and Trump cabinet members spending a lot of time in House hearings, and news about that will be a major news item for the next two years, as the parties angle for political advantage there.

  • xAI will not build an artificial general intelligence. Elon Musk will, following tradition, issue a new prediction as to how AGI is imminent and maybe one more year down the road.

  • The Trump administration will not invade Canada or Greenland. Trump will continue to suggest that he might whenever a topic comes up that he doesn't want news coverage of, the present undesirable topic being the expiring ACA subsidy and people's healthcare prices going up.

[โ€“] AreaKode@lemmy.world 16 points 5 days ago

I think you just listed best-case scenario. I feel things will get far worse.