this post was submitted on 08 Jan 2026
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What events do you think are likely to happen this calendar year? What percent odds would you put on such events happening?

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[–] fujiwood@lemmy.world 49 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (1 children)

All temperature records are broken again.

Weather is even more extreme than the past few years.

More wild fires, longer droughts, more intense hurricanes, tornados, typhoons and flooding. All once-in-a decade/generation/100 years events happen again.

[–] unknown@piefed.social 5 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

There's a double Blue Ocean Event being predicted for September too.

liQxxojHkh1XhZJ.gif

[–] Luci@lemmy.ca 47 points 5 days ago (3 children)
  • Trump resigns after careful consideration
  • Elon decides to fly on a SpaceX flight, it doesn’t go well
  • We find a cure for cilantro tasting like soap for some people
  • RAM prices drop lower than ever
[–] kbobabob@lemmy.dbzer0.com 5 points 4 days ago (1 children)

I guess the serious tag doesn't mean anything.

[–] Luci@lemmy.ca 2 points 4 days ago (1 children)

This is what I predict. Deal with it.

[–] kbobabob@lemmy.dbzer0.com 3 points 3 days ago (1 children)
[–] Luci@lemmy.ca 2 points 3 days ago

I’ll message you when my cilantro prediction proves correct

[–] Sunspear@piefed.social 9 points 5 days ago

Man that cilantro cure would be a godsend for sure

[–] mrmaplebar@fedia.io 42 points 5 days ago (2 children)
  • AI bubble pops as investors begin to realize that nobody is willing to pay for this stuff that they're sinking their money into.
  • China invades Taiwan. It's brutal and bloody. The US destroys TSMC and other key technologically significany global infrastructure.
  • As a result, the global economy again collapses as the bottom drops out of the stock market and multiple high profile companies go bankrupt. Executives get golden parachute on the way out.
  • Venezuela is going to turn ugly as a power struggle ramps up among rival entities.
  • The US will invade Columbia and Panama, but not Greenland.
  • Ukraine will continue fighting against Russia, the stalemate will continue.
  • Interest rates are going to be ramped up too fast in a effort to juice the economy before the midterm elections. Only to make inflation worse. We will continue to see prices increase.
  • Trump and the Republicans are going to hype up another racist fear tactic as red meat for their base.
  • Trump's mental and physical health problems get worse, his deterioration is very obvious but nobody will say or do anything about it.
  • ICEs violence will increase, as will anger of protestors. We will see riots and mass unrest.
  • The Republicans lose the midterm in a landslide, Trump whines about it on truth social, calling it rigged.
  • Wildfires in the west, hurricanes in the east.
  • The internet gets even more dead and useless as more and more AI slop fills up every nook and cranny of all mainstream sites. Subculture sites and the Fediverse remain mostly fine.
[–] missingno@fedia.io 26 points 5 days ago (1 children)
  • AI bubble doesn't dramatically pop in the way people might be expecting, but much of the tech industry will become more and more of a disaster over time. Especially the job market. But they'll keep insisting everything is normal and this isn't a pop.
  • Linux marketshare rises a full percentage point.
  • A major assassination of a billionaire or politician. A much bigger incident than Brian Thompson or Charlie Kirk. With how much more venomous the political climate keeps becoming, I expect violence to escalate into something this severe.
  • No consequences whatsoever for Donald Trump. Given his health there's a small possibility he just dies though, but that's the only possible way he ever leaves office.
  • Frieren season 2 will be peak, and it'll be the one little bit of joy to keep me going just a little longer.
[–] Washedupcynic@lemmy.ca 6 points 5 days ago

Frieren season 2 will be peak, and it’ll be the one little bit of joy to keep me going just a little longer.

I'm also looking forward to this. The show made me ugly cry, several times.

[–] pulsewidth@lemmy.world 6 points 4 days ago
  • AI bubble will pop when the datacenters that are financed to be completed in the first quarter fail to meet their deadlines, and continue to fail to meet them mid-year. Banks will pull loans, and rapidly, the dominoes will fall. I doubt OpenAI will survive 2026 (fingers crossed), Nvidia may, since theyre actually shipping products and making sales off the bubble - they'll take a big hit, as will Microsoft, Google, Facebook. It will cause a worldwide recession if not a financial crisis. 75% chance by EOY.

  • Trump will die. His health has circled the drain for years, and there's only so many medical interventions that can be applied. 50% chance.

  • I'll finally wash my car (been putting it off all 2025), 95% chance.

[–] 1984@piefed.world 28 points 5 days ago (1 children)
[–] Aatube@kbin.melroy.org 20 points 5 days ago

literally 1984

[–] tal@lemmy.today 27 points 5 days ago (1 children)
  • RAM prices will continue to rise for at least the first half of the year, just going on the fact that I've read plenty of statements to that extent and no disagreement.

  • The Democrats will win control of the House in the US in the midterm elections. That'll set off a number of investigations which will have Trump and Trump cabinet members spending a lot of time in House hearings, and news about that will be a major news item for the next two years, as the parties angle for political advantage there.

  • xAI will not build an artificial general intelligence. Elon Musk will, following tradition, issue a new prediction as to how AGI is imminent and maybe one more year down the road.

  • The Trump administration will not invade Canada or Greenland. Trump will continue to suggest that he might whenever a topic comes up that he doesn't want news coverage of, the present undesirable topic being the expiring ACA subsidy and people's healthcare prices going up.

[–] AreaKode@lemmy.world 16 points 5 days ago

I think you just listed best-case scenario. I feel things will get far worse.

[–] atro_city@fedia.io 17 points 5 days ago (2 children)

A cure for Alzheimers is found. This one says it's possible in animals. This year, I predict one will be found in vitro for humans.

~~The EU will change from a Union to something else and kick out Hungary~~ Orban and his party will lose in the upcoming Hungarian elections.

The Dutch government will fall again.

Germany will not ban their Nazi, Russian spy party.

A Nordic country will decide to get rid of their "kronen" and introduce it in 2027/2028.

Malta will be rocked by another pedophile scandal.

All the Epstein files will be released and Trump will be impeached as a result. (Lots of other politicians will be implicated but nothing will happen to them).

The UK will lose another royal.

China will invade Taiwan. Japan will go to war with them.

Linux will hit 8% marketshare.

[–] unsettlinglymoist@lemmy.world 3 points 4 days ago (3 children)

A Nordic country will decide to get rid of their "kronen" and introduce it in 2027/2028.

Euro adoption? Nope, guaranteed won't happen. Norway and Iceland aren't EU members and Finland already adopted the Euro. Denmark has a permanent opt-out and will never be required to adopt the Euro, and most Danes oppose adopting it. In Sweden public support for Euro adoption is similarly low, so although the country doesn't have an opt-out like Denmark, the government uses a legal workaround to avoid adopting it.

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[–] Tollana1234567@lemmy.today 4 points 5 days ago

it always says treatable in mammalian animals, then we never hear it again.

[–] frog_brawler@lemmy.world 13 points 5 days ago (2 children)
  • Market crash around March or April - 50%
  • Drought and tons of wildfires in the western US starting around June - 90%
  • Phil Collins RIP - 🤷‍♂️%
[–] unsettlinglymoist@lemmy.world 5 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Agreed, wildfire season this year is going to be brutal. I live in the Denver area and AFAIK we just got our second snowfall of this winter.

[–] frog_brawler@lemmy.world 3 points 4 days ago

We're basically neighbors.

[–] AngryCommieKender@lemmy.world 4 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (1 children)

Our fire season is typically during ~~the winter~~ cool autumn, and early ~~spring~~ overcast season. At least in SoCal

[–] frog_brawler@lemmy.world 3 points 4 days ago

I'm thinking more Wyoming area

[–] Assassassin@lemmy.dbzer0.com 24 points 5 days ago

It's gonna get way worse to be in the US

[–] SuperSpruce@lemmy.zip 7 points 4 days ago

GPUs will get more expensive as the VRAM will be diverted to much more profitable datacenter GPUs during the RAM shortage.

[–] sad_detective_man@sopuli.xyz 14 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (3 children)

Please let another CEO get murked 🙏 I would be so happy

[–] Korhaka@sopuli.xyz 3 points 5 days ago

So many to choose from too

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[–] Junkers_Klunker@feddit.dk 9 points 5 days ago (1 children)

I’m gonna end up as canon fodder when the fascists comes for Greenland. I’m quite good at handling rifles and pistols as I’m a active member of the local shooting range but do to a serious accident I can’t run any more.

[–] FreshParsnip@lemmy.ca 11 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (1 children)

My predictions aren't good. The Untied States will attack Greenland and start a war. Canada will join the war. Or the Untied States will implode and have a revolution/civil war. I have to hope for the latter so that Canada will be safe.

And also, there will be no midterms elections, at least not free and fair ones

[–] Tollana1234567@lemmy.today 5 points 5 days ago

i suspect the US will move onto the other South america countries to continue the distractions, brazil is probably in the works, but not publically announced.

[–] THE_GR8_MIKE@lemmy.world 10 points 5 days ago

GTA VI will be delayed again.

[–] gigastasio@sh.itjust.works 10 points 5 days ago

I will buy more pasta sauce.

[–] ArgumentativeMonotheist@lemmy.world 10 points 5 days ago (2 children)

I might get my wife pregnant if we decide to start trying for it this year. Maybe a good 75-80%? Our blood tests are coming out fine, so God willing we will be blessed if we let nature run its course. 👍

[–] LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world 9 points 5 days ago (1 children)

Life is truly so unfair when it comes to kids. Like you seem to have thought all this out, and even have blood tests to monitor shit. Then there are people like me who was crossing my fingers praying that I wasn't the tiny percentage that would end up with a pregnancy after even using a condom and/or using other birth control measures. I applaud your efforts, I hope you find everything you wish for when it comes to having children. 17-25 I just remember being worried all the time.

[–] ArgumentativeMonotheist@lemmy.world 5 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

Thanks, friend, your words are very kind and touching. My mom had a lot of complications having me, I know shit can get rough whether you want them or not, hopefully it's easier for us. May life also bring you what you wish for! ❤️

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[–] boaratio@lemmy.world 5 points 5 days ago

Shit'll get even worse.

[–] disregardable@lemmy.zip 8 points 5 days ago (2 children)

I set a resolution to go to the gym 100 times this year, and I predict there is no way in hell I'm hitting that.

Hold yourself accountable, that's only twice a week. Don't have expectations, go to the gym and do 10 squats and go home. Hell, go to the gym parking lot and get taco bell on the way back and count it as a win. Give yourself breaks and make it easy for you to succeed.

Every step even if it seems small and inconsequential gets you closer to your real goal. You don't have to be perfect, every step closer is progress.

[–] frog_brawler@lemmy.world 2 points 5 days ago

You could cheat and do 2x a days

[–] Tollana1234567@lemmy.today 4 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (1 children)

that the DNC/DEMS wont see the significant return for midterm elections than they thought: trying to deny ZOHRAN his election, rolling over to the GOP demands of the shutdown, SHILLING FOR AIPAC, and doing nothing to reign in the billionaires thats been feeding them. i see DNC early on supporting NEWSOM because he will keep the current status quo as is in order to prevent any other DEM thats to the "left" of him from winning, and likely will collude with the gop, billionaire donors to insure its propagandized against a newcomer.

plus continued ignorance of the epstein files, that the even the DNC is trying to avoid airing too much about.

the AI bubble bursitng is probably the least of the worries right now, but it does exacerbate the compounded problems.

just as we predicted the gop/dnc had agree to extend the ACA subsidies, because they under threat of losing thier seats this midterms, and likely the next election, hence why its 3 years and not just this year. Otherwise if both parties feel like thier seats arnt threatened they more than likely wouldve not "amend the subsidies"

what is likely to happen with LUIGIs trial?

entertainmaint: SG new series might be more problematic than the old ones, due to it being only 10 episodes(less episodes means less time to develop stories, and plots) and not give disclosure on previous cliffhangers(atlantis on earth, destiny sitll lost), its probably cringe if they decide to reimagine the series of sg1, like with BSG. also with the current climate of things that has affected other shows, like nutrek. and ROP being a massive money sink, that has likely sucked the budget from other shows making them cheaply produced.

also DEGREE to jobs piplines continues to degrade, and it might turn more people towards the RIGHT, predicting more election losses for DNC in the future, as angry frustrated college graduates of ten will gravitate to right wing sources for making themselves feel better.

[–] lorski@sopuli.xyz 1 points 4 days ago

Dems are not perfect and if they fail in midterms US is definitely toast. I hope voters realize this.

[–] captainlezbian@lemmy.world 1 points 4 days ago

Doom! DOOOOOOOOOOOOOM!

Idk I've got like 30% on the potus croaking of natural causes.

[–] mrgoosmoos@lemmy.ca 2 points 5 days ago

US starts floating the idea of invading Canada for fresh water*

Trump says something rambly about the important development of AI requiring it

americans cheer it on because "we needed the water and now we have it, what's bad about that?"

*specifically this reason, nvm the threats of invasion that have already happened

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