this post was submitted on 14 Nov 2025
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The title is a bit misleading, as the article lists diverging analysts' opinions, ranging from Valve willing to sell at a loss or low margins, to high prices due to RAM and SSD price volatility.

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[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 23 points 4 days ago (2 children)

Moore's Law Is Dead thinks that Valve basically got a bargain bin deal from AMD, who had a bunch of chips they thought were going to be used in a MSFT tablet, but that tablet got cancelled.

So, Valve did some scrapyard engineering, and got a discount on these things that were otherwise never going to be used for anything.

He estimates a total cost to produce of $425, estimates MSRP between $450 to $600, depending on just how hard Valve wants to fuck MSFT with their own leftovers.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=sJI3qTb2ze8

If this ends up being remotely accurate, it would be basically a corporate demolition of Shakespearian quality.

Gabe... Gabe was once a MSFT employee, you see.

A disgruntled former MSFT employee, you might say.

[–] Natanael 9 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Rumors is that the original Zen CPU SoC in the Steam Deck was also the leftovers from another canceled project by "a major OEM", so it's plausible. Sounds like Microsoft planned a handheld Xbox much earlier, which years after the Deck turned into the ROG collaboration, could have been related

[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 6 points 4 days ago

I had not heard that before, but uh, extremely funny if true.

Its like MacroHard just keeps punching themself in the face.

[–] ralakus@lemmy.world 6 points 4 days ago (1 children)
[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 10 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (1 children)

Yes.

Sorry, its either/both their stock ticker, a fairly common way they refer to themselves internally.

I too used to work for Microsoft.

Wooo boy, being one of two people trying to make the multi hundred, maybe over a thousand node, call center / support tree node system work correctly, for the 360, during the 'red ring of death' (3RR was the code we used for 'you are absolutely fucked')... yeah that was fun.

[–] bitMasque@lemmy.world 3 points 4 days ago (1 children)

That sounds interesting. Would you mind sharing a bit more of your experience, if you're not bound by an NDA?

[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 6 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (1 children)

I have before in other comments in other threads... but I am about to pass out, and being on mobile with a shit tier phone makes searching my own comment history somewhat cumbersome.

Uh... reply to this in 10 hrs and I will probably be awake and find those old comments?

(Also, its been a while since I worked for them, but even if I was bound by an NDA, I wouldn't give a fuck, I didn't do anything that important, really. Just another V Dash amongst many.)

[–] bitMasque@lemmy.world 3 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Thank you for taking the time to reply despite your situation. I'll try to remember to ping you tomorrow, but don't feel obligated.

[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 3 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

Ok, I found one of my longer comments on 'being an ex corpo from MSFT'.

I think the original post topic was basically about how the Windows kernel is now such a mess that MSFT can't actually understand it.

Stunning 10/10 Glassdoor Review from Happiest Former Tech Worker On Earth

I used to do V Dash contracts for MSFT.

I knew that the Xbox 360 3RR, red ring of death problem... was so bad, that it actually would have been more cost effective for MSFT to give each buyer two 360s, instead of one, at the same price, because of how mismanaged the RMA process was... I knew a whole bunch of such details a almost a decade before the documentary on it came out.

Yay NDAs.

...

I was also there during the Windows 8 rollout.

Shut down basically everything for a month, because MSFT 'dogfoods' all their software: Every MSFT worker is beta/alpha testing all MSFT software all the time.

We spent weeks just, unable to have more than 3 windows open at a time, half the tools we used on a daily basis just not working.

We asked them to let us go back to 7, asked them if therr was some way to return to a 7 like GUI.

For weeks they said nope, impossible, Win 8 is an entirely new GUI, totally new OS, the Win 7 GUI isn't there.

Oh then uh, weeks later, yeah, yeah it actually is there, you just have to follow this arcane override proceduren to see and use it.

... And then they just relented, put the non tablet UI fully back in, and called that Windows 8.1.

...

Windows is now layers upon layers upon decades of insane spaghetti code.

Even in Win 10, which was the last version I ever used... there are like 3 or 4 different eras of UI, for various settings menus, which people sometimes need to actually use... but they are considered legacy and thus not important.

Sometimes some newer era UI menus will have some of the options from some of the more buried stuff, but not all of them.

It is a gigantic fucking mess.

I guess I should clarify that I did sign an NDA, and back then, contemporaneous, when I was still trying to work at MSFT, I obviously gave a shit abiut it.

Now, now its like a decade later, I don't like, still have a copy of it, and I also don't fucking care.

I worked in the tech industry, now I despise almost all of it with a burning passion, left it entirely some years back.

[–] M1ch431@slrpnk.net 34 points 5 days ago

It’s likely in everybody’s best interest that this is a wild success. Not only will game developers be incentivized to actually optimize their games for reasonable setups; this will unseat Nvidia’s monopoly over gamers with their ridiculously overpriced graphics cards and also Microsoft’s monopoly of a gamer’s operating system.

Nvidia’s partnership with Palantir is incredibly concerning and any blow to Nvidia is a welcome one. Encourage these developments and hype this all up.

[–] PattyMcB@lemmy.world 13 points 4 days ago (1 children)

As long as it doesn't run Win11

[–] Threeme2189@lemmy.zip 3 points 4 days ago (3 children)

I'm sure it will be able to, but it will come pre-installed with steamOS (arch btw).

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[–] Creat@discuss.tchncs.de 54 points 6 days ago (4 children)

They can't sell this at a loss, or at least it would be incredibly risky. This is (intentionally) "just a PC". It ships with SteamOS but you can of course install whatever you want, including windows. If it is (much) cheaper than a roughly equivalent normal PC, companies might just start buying them in bulk but obviously not generating the supporting sales needed.

[–] uzay 36 points 6 days ago

If they sell it only through Steam as they do with the Steam Deck, companies wouldn't really be able to buy them in bulk.

[–] x00z@lemmy.world 33 points 6 days ago

I saw in a LTT video that they already claimed they will not be selling this at a loss because they want their hardware division to be self-sustaining.

[–] vrek@programming.dev 27 points 6 days ago (3 children)

I heard at one point in time the fastest super computer in the world was a cluster of 900 ps3. It was cheaper then buying a single computer and in the beginning of the ps3 era you could easily format and run Linux on them.

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[–] Arcane2077@sh.itjust.works 46 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago) (3 children)

I’m calling $700 US price. Valve’s the only company that can get into the console space with console prices since the real revenue source is the game store they run.

Edit: I slept on it and decided $750 is a safer bet, at least on the base model

[–] reev@sh.itjust.works 25 points 6 days ago (5 children)

The problem is that it makes less sense for them to sell at a loss than for example Xbox or Sony. It's just a capable PC, corporations could buy hundreds or thousands and they wouldn't make a cent off of game sales.

[–] Arcane2077@sh.itjust.works 12 points 6 days ago (1 children)

It's not impossible, however, have you seen what corporations buy for their employees? Saving on upfront cost isn't really part of the equation, it just has to say "dell" and/or "workstation" on it. A large company values long-term support and supply way more than what they'd save by getting a gaming machine.

And besides all that, it's not like the best selling console of all time didn't make money because a (objectively large) minority of owners only used it as a DVD player.

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[–] megopie@lemmy.blahaj.zone 6 points 5 days ago (1 children)

I don’t think most corporations would be interested in buying a computer that doesn’t include a windows license. Unless they intend to use it for like… server stuff, but they’d be way better off buying like… actual server hardware… if only for the operating cost.

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[–] Macallan@lemmy.world 9 points 4 days ago (1 children)

No way in hell. For $1,000 I'll just build one myself.

[–] echodot@feddit.uk 3 points 4 days ago

Which is why all these analyses are stupid. We don't need to do anything anywhere near as complicated as looking to market interactions and equivalent cost pricing. Because it's obvious that at $1,000 it'll flop and presumably valve know that.

I like the theory that they got the CPU and GPU at bargain basement prices because it was left over from some previously scrapped project of Microsoft or something. That would explain why it's such a weird architecture.

[–] HeyJoe@lemmy.world 25 points 6 days ago (1 children)

The article i saw a few days ago specifically mentioned that they didn't really talk about the price but when asked if it would cost more than the ps5 pro they didnt really say no and only offered that it will be priced accordingly to the hardware used to make it. To me, that most likely means it's going to cost around $1k. The absolute max is would ever be willing to pay is like $600. I have no doubt it will sell, but at that $1k price, they will severely limit the group of people that will be buying it. Honestly, if that is the cost, they should be shying away from even associating it as a console and just market it as a PC due to how people think.

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[–] _haha_oh_wow_@sh.itjust.works 18 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (10 children)

At $1,000 that'd be a hard pass for me even though I love Valve, I could easily build something better for less. I seriously doubt that'll be the price too, it'll probably around $600-800.

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[–] FireWire400@lemmy.world 19 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago) (2 children)

I'm not in the market for the GabeCube but if I were, I'd find a price point of $500-$600 attractive, given it's mostly just laptop tier hardware. I would prefer it over the current gen of consoles, although I don't know if there's gonna be the same level of optimisations for games on this as there is on consoles (most likely not really). It'll be a ripper emulation box, though.

~~Upgradability would've been nice, too. Soldered in RAM is ok for a hand-held device but for this? Nah mate....~~

Edit: The RAM isn't soldered, it uses standard SODIMMs.

[–] forks@lemmy.world 13 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago) (1 children)
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[–] aesthelete@lemmy.world 6 points 5 days ago

Dude the switch 2 is $500. Having a general purpose computer that hooks just as easily to your TV as a gaming console for double that price is perfectly fine IMO.

[–] big_slap@lemmy.world 18 points 6 days ago

no way this thing costs more than 800

[–] melfie@lemy.lol 5 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

I found this mini PC for $360 with a 780M, so 12 RDNA 3 CUs compared to Steam Machine’s 28. If Steam Machine is priced proportionally, it would be in the $800s. A 780M is about twice as powerful as the Steam Deck’s GPU. If I knew for sure the Steam Machine weren’t going to have 2-3x the power for only $200ish more, I’d buy something like this right now, because I’m mainly looking for a HTPC that can play couch-friendly games on a TV better than the Deck, which this type of machine accomplishes.

https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0CB32HKC5/?psc=1

Edit:

As an aside, I recently experimented with Pegasus Frontend launching VacuumTube and the Jellyfin desktop client, and while the UX is not quite as refined as Android TV, I think I’m happy enough with it to switch to Linux on a mini PC while I wait for Plasma Bigscreen.

[–] Kissaki@feddit.org 6 points 5 days ago (1 children)

Yes, I'm ready. I'm interested in buying all three new products. Whether I do depends on price. I'm fine with not buying them if I deem them not worth the cost for me.

I kinda doubt Valve would produce and sell a Machine with a 1k USD target price. When watching the announcement video, I was wondering how affordable it would be, whether it would be something like 300 € (not having seen any specs), although the “runs even the big titles” puts that into question to a degree.

There's no real use in speculating. It's better to just wait. I didn't look for or into third party information either. I'm waiting for official information, waiting for the next announcements and/with product page launches.

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[–] melfie@lemy.lol 12 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago) (3 children)

Here’s a gaming laptop for $700 that I think is similarly powered, except it also has a screen, keyboard, a trackpad and a Windows 11 license that probably represent like $200 of that. I’ll probably pick up a SM if it’s around $500 for the base model, but otherwise, I’ll probably build something instead.

https://www.newegg.com/msi-thin-a15-15-6-geforce-rtx-4060-laptop-gpu-amd-ryzen-5-7535hs-16gb-memory-512-gb-nvme-ssd/p/N82E16834156873

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[–] Hadriscus@jlai.lu 11 points 6 days ago

It has a midrange graphics card, it can't cost more than 5 or 6 hundred

[–] Damage@feddit.it 14 points 6 days ago (1 children)

Higher RAM price is irrelevant as it acts on the whole market, it's not a disadvantage specific to the Steam Machine

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