this post was submitted on 16 Mar 2026
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[–] mlg@lemmy.world 6 points 6 days ago (2 children)

The real kicker is that this is from people who bet against Iran striking Israel.

Wouldn't even bet my life Israel's iron dome is invincible, especially considering Iran already successfully broke through it last year.

Or you know, Gaza a bunch of times with pipe rockets.

[–] Coleslaw4145@lemmy.world 5 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago)

The thing about these missile defence systems is that, regardless of how advanced a system is, it can always be overcome by sheer volume of fire.

A common tactic is to saturate the sky with cheaper dummy missiles/drones that don't even have warheads, just to deplete missile defence stockpiles and protect the real missiles/drones from being intercepted.

This is happening a lot in Ukraine too.

TLDR; You're right to believe Iron Dome isn't invincible because there's no such thing as an invincible missile defence system.

[–] TronBronson@lemmy.world 1 points 6 days ago

That’s thee dumbest bet i could imagine.

[–] TheAlbatross@lemmy.blahaj.zone 164 points 1 week ago (2 children)

What a stupid world we've allowed to be concocted.

[–] Krauerking@lemy.lol 31 points 1 week ago
[–] Dojan@pawb.social 20 points 1 week ago (2 children)

Past few years I've been reading a shitty sci-fi series. In this series there's a race of creatures whose entire society is founded on gambling. They bet on everything, and people frequently bankrupt themselves. The moment you look at that world-building with even a little bit of scrutiny it falls apart in its stupidity.

This is even dumber.

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[–] a4ng3l@lemmy.world 130 points 1 week ago (2 children)

Most cyberpunk read today.

How that shit is not illegal is beyond me. Gambling is already predatory but outside of sports and in fucking armed conflicts is abhorrent.

[–] Evotech@lemmy.world 15 points 1 week ago (2 children)

We are in the crime is legal era

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[–] gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works 89 points 1 week ago (1 children)

So uh… what are the odds on polymarket for the guy getting killed?

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[–] GoofSchmoofer@lemmy.world 76 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (2 children)

“If you decide to go with your ego and not with your head, you are leaving behind dozens of wealthy people from all over the world who will know that you performed market manipulation and stole from them. They know who you are, you don’t know who they are. It took them less than 5 minutes to find out exactly where you live … how often you see your lovely parents … and exactly who your … brothers and sisters are.”

So the guy threatening the journalist to change his story so the gambler can make money isn't market manipulation, but the journalist not changing his story is....

What scary about this, and it was mentioned in the article, is how future stories by less than ethical "journalist" can be purchased so that one side can become rich. Fuck accuracy it's all about the money.

Well it's not like that is already the case with social media, but I would like to think there is at least some aspect of reporting that is based in ethics and truth.

[–] P00ptart@lemmy.world 43 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Polymarket is one of many direct evidence of the impending fall of society.

[–] T156@lemmy.world 35 points 1 week ago (5 children)

It's one of those things that would seem excessive in a story.

A place so decadent that everything was to bet for. Even as the world ended around them, they gambled on how.

[–] NihilsineNefas@slrpnk.net 22 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

It's the real life version of the intro to Cyberpunk 2077, with the radio host talking about bets on the death toll in Night city.

[–] tiramichu@sh.itjust.works 16 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

Cyberpunk was supposed to be a dystopia, not a fucking instruction manual!

But seriously, I've lost about all enjoyment in cyber-dystopian stories because these days they cut depressingly close to home.

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[–] Krauerking@lemy.lol 33 points 1 week ago

Oh yeah, it is messed up and doesnt even cover the section where apparently another journalist the writer knows was bribed to try and coerce the flow of information to get that win. It basically confirms that there is already a willing lack of integrity somewhere to think it would work here.

A few hours later, a colleague from another media outlet messaged me. He said that someone he knew asked him to ask me to change the report on the missile impact in Beit Shemesh, and that it would be “negligible” for me if I did make the change.

Going further, the acquaintance even offered the journalist compensation, from his winnings, if he managed to convince me to change my report.

[–] solidheron@sh.itjust.works 55 points 1 week ago

Time to boost this post. I have received death threats from Zionist, but I have a feeling these poly market people are scarier since they have money on the line

[–] phoenixz@lemmy.ca 44 points 1 week ago (19 children)

Polymarket is one of the largest prediction markets in the world, where users can wager their money on the likelihood of future events, using cryptocurrency, debit or credit cards, and bank transfers.

So this is a market place where rich people can bet on how gruesome poor people can die in war zones and genocides. Is this any different from the rich hunting the poor for sport? Instead of a trigger, they click a button, but it's not that different.

Isn't humanity awesome? Can we please start jailing these (or at this point, all) psychopaths?

Seriously, 99% of the population consists of awesome people that take care of one another. The problem is that psychopaths, like the ones from the article, have the need to be on top and control everything and we let them.

Seriously, as far as I can tell, humanity could kill a few 10.000s psychopaths and all of the sudden, no more wars, no more hunger, no more conflicts, no more senseless pollution, the world could heal and humanity could enter a phase of sustainable awesomeness.

No. I am not suggesting we kill them, it was just to make the point. However, I do feel we need to start testing people for psychopathy (as far as possible and work in better screening) to ensure we keep these fuckers from positions of power and money. We need to stop psychopaths from gaining any real power.

Hell, if it were up to me, nobody would get great power or money. I'd have a world wide wealth cap, nobody can be worth over, say 1 or 10 million. Anything over that goes to taxes. THAT will stop people.frok amassing great wealth and power and just stop this shit

For the website: I wish people were still masquerading as Anonymous and would just continuously hack this site into the ground where it belongs, next to its disgusting creators.

Fuck I hate this world :(

[–] hanrahan@slrpnk.net 1 points 6 days ago

Seriously, 99% of the population consists of awesome people that take care of one another.

hmmmm

Susan Sontag was asked what she had learned from the Holocaust, and she said that 10% of any population is cruel, no matter what, and that 10% is merciful, no matter what, and that the remaining 80% could be  moved in either direction” —Kurt Vonnegut

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[–] gworl@lemmy.blahaj.zone 42 points 1 week ago (13 children)

Gambling needs to simply be made illegal

I don’t care what your arguments are gambling needs to be made illegal

[–] commie@lemmy.dbzer0.com 1 points 6 days ago

laws disproportionately are used to punish already marginalized groups for the benefit of the powerful.

nothing should be illegal. abolish all law

[–] captainlezbian@lemmy.world 45 points 1 week ago (37 children)

I think it's fair for it to be legal, but only in specific locations and contexts. I think small scale gambling between friends and coworkers is fine. I think well regulated casinos are bad but serve as a deterrent to underground criminal gambling. I think having legal gambling through the internet and on your phone, advertised everywhere is a serious problem.

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[–] Not_mikey@lemmy.dbzer0.com 20 points 1 week ago (11 children)

Prohibition on vices never works, it just sends the money to criminal organizations that kill people instead of capitalist companies that kill less people.

The solution is to have it be state run, remove the profit motive, and send any money gained from it to education and social services.

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[–] Grandwolf319@sh.itjust.works 42 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Holy shit.

Not only this is horrifying cause of the threats, it’s also very unsettling that something with such a recipe for disaster would attract so many rubes to be a working business model.

[–] BeMoreCareful@lemmy.world 13 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Yeah, it sort of makes me wonder how many bets have been fixed already.

I'm guessing a lot. Our wealthy like to gamble and are not normally subject to justice.

Distressing is right, there's a lot of potential there. Especially with all the didling going on indicated by the Epstein files.

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[–] Bakkoda@lemmy.world 37 points 1 week ago

We should make sure every person on the Internet has their identity confirmed at the device level and then we can punish these people for writing the wrong Iran story.

  • Department of War
[–] imetators@lemmy.dbzer0.com 29 points 1 week ago (3 children)

US: promotes no gambling to children by suing Valve and their lootboxes mechanics

Also US: has an app where anyone can gamble on real life events.

🤷‍♂️

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[–] wavebeam@lemmy.world 29 points 1 week ago (1 children)

The only way to fight this is to make a new bet on polymarket to profit off the odds that this journalist is killed by the gamblers in polymarket.

[–] Krauerking@lemy.lol 14 points 1 week ago (2 children)

I was thinking it was just to not use polymarket but dang... I guess I was wrong.

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[–] deathbird@mander.xyz 17 points 1 week ago

The "gamble on news" site causing psychos to threaten journalists wasn't something I expected, but I blame a lack of imagination on my part regarding human depravity.

[–] RBWells@lemmy.world 16 points 1 week ago

I feel like if I were trying to manipulate that market I'd be trying to bend reality in a better direction.

[–] Eyekaytee@aussie.zone 15 points 1 week ago (2 children)

For those asking the same question I have: how is this legal? surprisingly informative video:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mOptJl8Xkx0

[–] ceenote@lemmy.world 34 points 1 week ago (5 children)

The 21st century really is the "It might seem illegal, but we called it something else, so it's not" century, especially for the US.

It's not gambling, it's a prediction market, or loot boxes. It's not war, it's a military operation. It's not bribery, it's lobbying. It's not drug dealing, it's encouraging doctors to prescribe medications which happen to be extremely addictive...

[–] jqubed@lemmy.world 21 points 1 week ago

It’s not an illegal taxi service, it’s ride sharing.

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[–] Sam_Bass@lemmy.world 14 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Shame death threats aren't prosecutable

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[–] deacon@lemmy.world 12 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Given all the entanglements of all the big players, I genuinely wonder how much polymarket is predicting vs influencing events

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