this post was submitted on 28 Aug 2026
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For all of the confusion about where the Ottawa-Washington meltdown will lead, one thing seems certain. The big winners of this diplomatic collapse will be China and other repressive dictatorships eager to become our new “strategic” partners and further undermine the world’s stabilizing democracy bloc.

Opinion piece by Charles Burton, former diplomat at Canada’s embassy in Beijing, senior fellow at Sinopsis.cz, a China-focused think tank based in Prague, Czech Republic. He is and author of 'The Beaver and the Dragon: How China Out-Manoeuvred Canada’s Diplomacy, Security and Sovereignty'.

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...

Beijing in particular wants to inherit Canada’s economic dependence. Establishing such a broader North American beachhead will only further President Xi Jinping’s resolute goal of displacing the U.S. as a global hegemon, and cementing a China-dominated world order whose very foundation is the rejection of democratic freedoms and human rights.

...

If Canada ever reaches a point where attacks on our economy put families’ livelihoods at stake, then standing firm on our moral principles will give way to tolerating – or at least ignoring – human rights abuses in exchange for restoring Canadian prosperity through trade and investment with the likes of Qatar, Saudi Arabia and China. As someone who has been sanctioned by both Beijing and Moscow for standing up for Canadian democratic and civil values in global affairs, this prospect is deeply troubling.

...

When Mr. Xi makes a landmark trip to North America next month, it is expected he will add a Canadian stop, the first time in 16 years a Chinese head of state has visited this country. And this at a time when there have been calls for Ottawa to scrap restrictions on importing Chinese-made EVs, to locate Chinese auto factories here, and to even encourage Canadians to buy “Great Wall wine” instead of Californian.

In contrast to the belligerent threats that Canadians have been conditioned to expect from Washington, the Chinese President will project dignity and a tone of respect and goodwill toward Prime Minister Mark Carney and his Canadian business associates, who will be offering a warm welcome to the Chinese delegation.

But like Howitt’s “Spider and the Fly,” in which a cunning spider uses seduction and manipulation to lure a fly into its web, Canada should be wary of those who wield flattery and charm to disguise other intentions. Rushing to embrace China’s expansionist and calculating totalitarian regime will never work out well for Canada’s overall interest.

In the current hostile landscape, Canada could find itself deeply regretting coming out of an American frying pan into a Chinese fire.

...

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[–] grey_maniac@lemmy.ca 25 points 1 week ago (1 children)

The US has never been a stabilizing democracy. They have been one of the foremost instigators of destabilization for almost a century. And the research is also clear that US citizens' majority policy concerns only get addressed if they align with corporate policy concerns. So neither stabilizing, nor an actual democracy.

My knee-jerk "um actually" response aside, China's ability to strategize at long time horizons lends credence to some of his points. For long-term survival, Canada will need to build multiple independent tradepartnerships to remove any single points of failure.

[–] mrdown@lemmy.world 10 points 1 week ago

Democracy do not exists we are in a system where the lobbies and oligarchy rule

[–] OliveBrittle@piefed.ca 23 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (3 children)

"Yeah, the person I'm married to threatens me, punishes me, insults me, and doesn't value my consent, but it's better than what the other person could be"

Literal battered woman syndrome. Look, I don't like China or want more trade with them either, but can we please stop pretending doing business with them will be worse than doing business with the U.S.? One keeps their issues much more domestic than the other? I don't see China raising world oil prices by bombing Iran, raising my cost of living with absurd tariffs, or going back on their word.

We struck a deal with them, and they removed duties for our canola, crab, peas, and lobster for us letting in their EVs, which opens us up for job creation should they bring manufacturing operations here. In turn, we were made exempt from visa requirements to travel to China. I can see the benefits of that deal because they up the income of our farmers and fishers, open up job potential, and make travelling across the world easier for us.

That is how you strike a deal. They are reliable, the U.S. is not, plain and simple. If this guy's opinion is that China wants less democracy in the world, then I'd like to point to the amount of dictators America backs and has instated. Let's stop pretending that only one pulls that crap when they both do.

[–] goodguys9@lemmy.ca 17 points 1 week ago (1 children)

What are we supposed to do, not defend ourselves? China isn't making annexation threats against Canada. They're terrible on human rights records, but they're less overtly dangerous to Canada than the U.S. is with sharing a border. I can't see any future where China tries to annex Canada.

[–] jerkface@lemmy.ca 6 points 1 week ago

China does influence Canadian elections, makes demands regarding our internal politics, has agents in Canada stalking and harassing Canadian citizens for political reasons; they may not be trying to claim our territory but they do not recognize our sovereign authority over it when their interests don't align with that.

I'm not arguing for USA over China, but that's a false dichotomy to begin with. We don't have to compromise.

[–] TemplaerDude@sh.itjust.works 13 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I don’t trust china but I trust the states even less right now. Pretty fucking wild thing to say but that’s where we’re at. Canada should be looking to diversify beyond those two but at the end of the day you have to trade where there is trade.

[–] group_hug@sh.itjust.works 2 points 1 week ago

You don't trust a country run by somebody who bold face lies about easily verifiable truths hundreds of times every day? Who TACOs back and forth on ultimatums several times a week?

Who makes international trade agreements one year claiming them the best deal ever, then calls them terrible deals 4 years later and rips them up?

What is wrong with yo man? Are you sane?

[–] SpaceCowboy@lemmy.ca 12 points 1 week ago

This guy was a diplomat, but he doesn't understand triangular diplomacy?

Both the US and China suck balls. They're both authoritarian, both have dictators that abuse their power and the people of their countries have accept it because of fascist propaganda about how only a strongman can run the economy and foreigners are trying to screw them over.

The main difference is the distance to those countries. It would be nice if we didn't need to engage with either of these countries, but the US is right next to us so they can't be ignored. So we need to play both sides. Not on every single thing, we don't want to engage with China anymore than we have to, because their regime sucks in the same way the US regime sucks. But if they're willing to fill in any gaps caused by the trade issues with the US, then you gotta do what you gotta do.

[–] betanumerus@lemmy.ca 11 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

While the rest of the world, Asia, Europe, Africa, Australia, South America, are switching to EVs, Canada and the US are fighting over who will build fossil cars. You can't make this up.

[–] goodguys9@lemmy.ca 7 points 1 week ago (2 children)

To be fair, one of the big trade issues the US is mad about in the auto industry is Canada allowing Chinese EVs into their market. I feel like Canada is fighting for EVs (less so now with Carney), we just have a giant thorn stabbing us in the side.

[–] betanumerus@lemmy.ca 4 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (4 children)

There is nothing wrong with Chinese EVs. The US should be going after cars that transmit information to foreign governments instead, which has nothing to do with electric propulsion. If it's about trying force Canadians into buying fossil fuels, screw them.

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[–] DupaCycki@lemmy.world 10 points 1 week ago

How do 'former diplomats' come up with shit like this. Unless it was meant to be propaganda?

Of all the things you could criticize China for... this guy chooses to criticize it for the US acting like a drunk 14-year-old.

Well, I think I see why he lost his diplomat position.

[–] Aceticon@lemmy.dbzer0.com 7 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (9 children)

China is better than America because they're way less likely to interfere outside its own borders (yet still do it, hence all the shit in the South China Sea, plus lets not forget Taiwan) and when they do their impact on the rest of the World is much smaller.

That is however, for now.

If things carry on in the direction they seem to be going and China replaces the US as the World's foremost imperial power (the kind of things History shows us invariably happens and is even roughly on schedule), given enough time they'll be as bad as America is now.

As somebody else mentioned when quoting (I believe) a Canadian politician, middle powers should stick together. If you look at the EU, that's basically one of its purposes, which is probably why American Administrations of either color dislike it - it use to be much easier for America to push around European nations, even the mid-sized ones.

[–] jerkface@lemmy.ca 4 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Detention_of_Michael_Spavor_and_Michael_Kovrig is a glaring counter example showing they don't have any particular issue with acting outside their own borders.

https://www.publicsafety.gc.ca/cnt/trnsprnc/brfng-mtrls/prlmntry-bndrs/20240719/43-en.aspx is another alarming example of China intentionally undermining Canadian sovereignty.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_government_interference_in_Canada demonstrates that there is no democratic institution in Canada that China is not willing to attack. These are not allies. They are only talking to us because they know its a path to placing us in a more vulnerable position.

[–] Aceticon@lemmy.dbzer0.com 3 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Next to just what's happening to Oil prices worldwide due to America's and Israel's attack on Iran, your single example of China's interference abroad (the second one, as your first example is not even that since it happened in China) are pretty much zero impact actions.

Even in a 100% Canada-centric perspective, just Trump's tariffs cause way, WAY, WAY more pain to Canadians in aggregate than two Canadians being unfairly arrested for almost 3 years in China, and China running "Foreign Police Stations" in Canada targeting Chinese Nationals living in Canada.

My point stands that "China is better than America", not because China is good but because America is horrible. Further, even whilst (until recently) America was treating Canada reasonably well, that doesn't mean they America wasn't a horrible nasty nation - they were just did inflicted the suffering on people in various countries amongst which was not Canada - just ask most people living in Latin American or the Middle East how nice America is.

My point also stands that when China does interfere abroad "their impact on the rest of the World is much smaller" than America's. I mean the immediate example of that is America's attack on Iran and what's happening to Oil prices Worldwide due to it, but well before that America was always (almost literally "always": if I remember it correctly the US was only ever not at war for 7 years in its entire History) attacking other countries and have left enormous piles of corpses in many of them. China did do some pretty fucked up shit abroad (most notably attacking and annexing Tibet), it's just that they haven't done in quite a while whilst America has done some of their nastiest things in the last 2 or 3 decades and have done a lot more of that and left a lot more people dead on their trail.

And, of course, your examples of China's abuses in Canada and against Canadians in China just reinforces my expectation that eventually China will be just as bad as America once it finds itself in a similar position.

[–] CanadaPlus@lemmy.sdf.org 4 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

China pushes everyone in their region around massively and shamelessly, actually. Taiwan and the atolls gets Western headlines, but it doesn't stop there. The US has been a lot easier to live next to, until now.

Even if we pretend China's as big of a threat to Canada, though, that just means we should play them off each other.

[–] Rat_in_a_hat@lemmy.ca 4 points 1 week ago (7 children)

The US has been a lot easier to live next to, until now.

All of Latin America would beg to differ

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[–] castle88@lemmy.ca 3 points 1 week ago

Yes, speaking of Canada specifically, China is less of a present and proximate threat. However, we still need to go into any agreements with eyes wide open.

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[–] avidamoeba@lemmy.ca 7 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

stabilizing democracy bloc

I was wondering if the pro-US propagandists are gonna be smart enough to stay silent this close to us hearing the layoffs rumbles at our workplaces but no. Dumb as bricks.

[–] ILikeBoobies@lemmy.ca 6 points 1 week ago

At least the rest of the world is realizing we're enemies now.

I think the Prime Minister who called out that middle-powers needed to stick together if they are to survive is probably aware that jumping out of the fry pan into the fire isn't a good idea. Conversely the Chinese are no worse than the Americans, so Canada all the middle powers need to deal carefully with the 2 superpowers, keep them as much at arms-length as possible, and try to make win-win deals. Something China currently does and the US doesn't while the orangatun is in power.

[–] nyan@lemmy.cafe 5 points 1 week ago

China is not reliable, but it is somewhat predictable, which the US, currently, is not. (Even assuming that the US government will do the stupidest thing possible in this or any other timeline won't help you with the details, because stupidity is infinite and unfathomable.) This makes China easier to deal with. I don't think Carney is dumb enough to mistake "easier to deal with" for genuine goodwill, though, because my cat is smart enough not to make that mistake. I'm tired of seeing these articles that presuppose the government is too oblivious to know that China is dangerous and has to be handled like a lit stick of dynamite tied to a venemous snake.

[–] DrStanleyGoodspeed@lemmy.zip 5 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Yup this plays right into our adversary’s arms. This type of diplomacy is impossible to defend. Really renaming Lake Ontario?! Wtf man. What are you doing??? This is not helping America or you for that matter. Unnecessary self-inflicted wound.

[–] BillyTheKid2@lemmy.ca 10 points 1 week ago (8 children)

I don't think he cares about helping America

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[–] QueenHawlSera@piefed.social 4 points 1 week ago

I'm rooting for Canada

[–] k0e3@lemmy.ca 4 points 1 week ago

Yeah, no. The happiest dictator is the one from the US.

[–] Geobloke@aussie.zone 4 points 1 week ago (1 children)

China aren't reliable, look at what they did to Australia after our prime minister, rightly or wrongly, called for an investigation into the origins of covid

For the record, I don't think Scotty did the right thing, but China's response wasn't justified either

[–] thanksforallthefish@literature.cafe 5 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I think China had a very long list of data points of what happens if you allow a Murdoch mouthpiece to mouth off without slapping back hard and executed according to what precedent dictated.

He deserved the response for being SloMo, his entire existence warranted a slapping.

Note, I may be a little biased in this analysis as I wouldn't piss on him if he were on fire

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[–] humanspiral@lemmy.ca 3 points 1 week ago (2 children)

This is pure demonic nazi Canadian establishment platformed propaganda for the purpose of enslaving and oppressing Canadians, and their minds, into the only permissible negotation alternative: Begging only the US for survival. Demonic propaganda of the last 20-75 years must frame your political allegiances. There is no direct US threat, and no future direct US threat, that should ever move you from ultimate devotion to overarching US demonic naziism. No participation by Canada in any future multipolar global order, but especially not permitting Canadians to reconsider nazi US/Israel supremacy as "Canadian values".

[–] Scotty@scribe.disroot.org 0 points 5 days ago

@humanspiral@lemmy.ca

Dude, just go and touch some grass.

[–] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 3 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Begging only the US for survival.

Canada can't move it's borders. They do business with the US because of proximity far more than policy.

And as the US is a globe-striding superpower with a centuries long reputation for bullying allies and enemies alike, that means making some hard choices.

No participation by Canada in any future multipolar global order, but especially not permitting Canadians to reconsider nazi US/Israel supremacy as “Canadian values”.

Israel exists in it's current state precisely because American fascists sponsor it's worst residents for high office. Practically the definition of a kakocracy. If you're not an ultra-nationalist with a thirst for eugenics, you're not invited to the Knesset.

Of course, Canada has the same problem. It's Parliament is also stacked full of American aligned oligarchs and fascists, to the point where they gave one of the last living Nazis a standing ovation not three years ago.

Until you can purge yourself of fossil fuel plutocrats and evangelical white supremacists, I'm not sure how you decouple from the United States, much less the global petro-cartels.

[–] humanspiral@lemmy.ca 3 points 1 week ago (1 children)

centuries long reputation for bullying allies and enemies alike, that means making some hard choices.

My core issue with OP is choices to help/protect Canada must be framed in the horror that it could also help China, and harm the bullying power of the master we can only be allowed to devote alignment to their maximum evil. Editorials like this, try to force the easy path of going through the stages of grief until accepting the extreme US demands/enslavement.

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